AI Match Insights

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Division Profesional - Apertura Feb 19, 2026

Cerro Porteño

Home
VS
21:00

Olimpia

Away
AI Predictions 51.0% Confidence
Cerro Porteño Win
51.0%
Draw
23.8%
Olimpia Win
25.2%
Home Win (51% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 87%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 49% Draw Risk: 44%
xG: 1.72 - 0.20
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.7 vs 0.2
High draw risk (44%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Cerro Porteño Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
18%
1 goals:
31%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
15%
4 goals:
7%
Olimpia Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
82%
1 goals:
16%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (25%) 2-0 (22%) 0-0 (15%) 3-0 (12%) 1-1 (5%) 2-1 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 15%
Over 2.5 Goals 29%
Under 2.5 Goals 71%
Cerro Porteño Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 02 Cerro Por… vs Sportivo … 2-0
Jan 27 Cerro Por… vs Club Sp. … 2-4
Jan 24 Cerro Por… vs Libertad … 1-1
Jan 17 Cerro Por… vs San Loren… 0-0
Dec 06 Cerro Por… vs General C… 1-2
Nov 23 Cerro Por… vs Libertad … 1-0
Nov 09 Cerro Por… vs Sportivo … 0-0
Nov 02 Cerro Por… vs Club Guar… 1-0
Oct 27 Cerro Por… vs Nacional … 1-2
Oct 23 Cerro Por… vs General C… 0-0
Olimpia Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 01 Olimpia vs Sportivo … 3-2
Jan 28 Olimpia vs 2 de Mayo 1-1
Jan 25 Olimpia vs Club Guar… 2-1
Jan 16 Olimpia vs Colo-Colo 0-0
Dec 21 Olimpia vs Peru 2-0
Nov 26 Olimpia vs 2 de Mayo 3-3
Nov 21 Olimpia vs Sportivo … 2-4
Nov 14 Olimpia vs South Kor… 2-0
Nov 09 Olimpia vs Qatar 0-0
Nov 08 Olimpia vs General C… 1-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Cerro Porteño in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 2 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Oct 19, 2025 Cerro Porteño 1 - 1 Olimpia Division Profe…
Aug 03, 2025 Olimpia 2 - 3 Cerro Porteño Division Profe…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Cerro Porteño to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Cerro Porteño Power 0
Olimpia Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.