AI Match Insights

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Division Profesional - Apertura Feb 19, 2026

Nacional Asunción

Home
VS
21:00

Sportivo Ameliano

Away
AI Predictions 61.0% Confidence
Nacional Asunción Win
61.0%
Draw
21.8%
Sportivo Ameliano Win
17.2%
Home Win (61% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 86%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 49% Draw Risk: 40%
xG: 1.77 - 0.35
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.8 vs 0.3
High draw risk (40%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Nacional Asunción Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
17%
1 goals:
30%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
16%
4 goals:
7%
Sportivo Ameliano Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
71%
1 goals:
25%
2 goals:
4%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (21%) 2-0 (19%) 0-0 (12%) 3-0 (11%) 1-1 (7%) 2-1 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 25%
Over 2.5 Goals 35%
Under 2.5 Goals 65%
Nacional Asunción Form 18.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 31 Nacional … vs 2 de Mayo 5-1
Jan 27 Nacional … vs Sportivo … 1-2
Jan 24 Nacional … vs Club Sp. … 1-0
Nov 27 Nacional … vs Deportivo… 0-0
Nov 20 Nacional … vs Sportivo … 2-0
Nov 14 Nacional … vs Club Guar… 0-0
Nov 10 Nacional … vs Atlético … 0-2
Nov 05 Nacional … vs General C… 2-1
Nov 01 Nacional … vs Sportivo … 0-0
Oct 27 Nacional … vs Cerro Por… 1-2
Sportivo Ameliano Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 31 Sportivo … vs Club Sp. … 1-0
Jan 28 Sportivo … vs Libertad … 1-0
Jan 25 Sportivo … vs Rubio Ñu 2-2
Nov 26 Sportivo … vs Sportivo … 0-0
Nov 20 Sportivo … vs Nacional … 2-0
Nov 10 Sportivo … vs 2 de Mayo 2-3
Nov 02 Sportivo … vs Sportivo … 0-1
Oct 27 Sportivo … vs General C… 1-4
Oct 18 Sportivo … vs Libertad … 1-2
Oct 12 Sportivo … vs Club Guar… 1-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Nacional Asunción in strong form (4W in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 10 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Nov 20, 2025 Nacional Asunción 2 - 0 Sportivo Ameliano Division Profe…
Aug 29, 2025 Sportivo Ameliano 3 - 0 Nacional Asunción Division Profe…
May 04, 2025 Nacional Asunción 0 - 1 Sportivo Ameliano Division Profe…
Feb 22, 2025 Sportivo Ameliano 2 - 1 Nacional Asunción Division Profe…
Oct 06, 2024 Sportivo Ameliano 1 - 0 Nacional Asunción Division Profe…
Aug 04, 2024 Nacional Asunción 0 - 0 Sportivo Ameliano Division Profe…
Apr 06, 2024 Nacional Asunción 1 - 1 Sportivo Ameliano Division Profe…
Jan 19, 2024 Sportivo Ameliano 1 - 0 Nacional Asunción Division Profe…
Oct 28, 2023 Nacional Asunción 2 - 1 Sportivo Ameliano Division Profe…
Aug 11, 2023 Sportivo Ameliano 2 - 0 Nacional Asunción Division Profe…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Nacional Asunción to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Nacional Asunción Power 0
Sportivo Ameliano Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.