AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
São Paulo Youth Cup Jan 22, 2026

Grêmio U20

Home
VS
00:30

Cruzeiro U20

Away
AI Predictions 39.0% Confidence
Grêmio U20 Win
39.0%
Draw
26.2%
Cruzeiro U20 Win
34.8%
Home Win (39% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
HOME_FORT (73.3%) HWR60+ (68.3%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 71%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 45% Draw Risk: 28%
xG: 1.94 - 1.18
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.9 vs 1.2
High draw risk (28%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Grêmio U20 Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
14%
1 goals:
28%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
18%
4 goals:
9%
Cruzeiro U20 Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
31%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
21%
3 goals:
8%
4 goals:
3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1 (10%) 2-1 (10%) 1-0 (9%) 2-0 (8%) 3-1 (6%) 1-2 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 59%
Over 2.5 Goals 59%
Under 2.5 Goals 41%
Grêmio U20 Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 18 Grêmio U20 vs Ceará U20 3-0
Jan 16 Grêmio U20 vs América R… 4-1
Jan 14 Grêmio U20 vs Chapecoen… 0-1
Jan 12 Grêmio U20 vs Atlético … 3-1
Nov 05 Grêmio U20 vs São Paulo… 1-0
Oct 30 Grêmio U20 vs São Paulo… 1-1
Jul 23 Grêmio U20 vs Vasco da … 2-0
Jul 16 Grêmio U20 vs Cuiabá U20 2-4
Jul 12 Grêmio U20 vs Internaci… 1-2
Jun 15 Grêmio U20 vs Sao Luiz … 4-1
Cruzeiro U20 Form 20.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 18 Cruzeiro … vs Guanabara… 0-3
Jan 17 Cruzeiro … vs Santos U20 3-1
Jan 14 Cruzeiro … vs Ponte Pre… 3-0
Jan 10 Cruzeiro … vs Francana … 0-1
Oct 12 Cruzeiro … vs Coimbra U… 8-1
Oct 04 Cruzeiro … vs América M… 0-1
Sep 27 Cruzeiro … vs Uberaba U… 7-1
Sep 15 Cruzeiro … vs Boston Ci… 4-0
Sep 06 Cruzeiro … vs Athletic … 2-1
Aug 30 Cruzeiro … vs Atlético … 2-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Grêmio U20 in strong form (4W in last 5) Home
  • Cruzeiro U20 in strong form (5W in last 5) Away
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Grêmio U20 to win (41% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 41% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Grêmio U20 Power 0
Cruzeiro U20 Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

1

Grêmio U20 Position

0

Position Gap

1

Cruzeiro U20 Position
Home Win Rate: 100%
Away Win Rate: 100%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.