AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
National League Feb 19, 2026

Dagon

Home
VS
09:00

Yadanarbon

Away
AI Predictions 55.0% Confidence
Dagon Win
55.0%
Draw
23.0%
Yadanarbon Win
22.0%
Home Win (55% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 68%
Standings 59%
Market 50%
Combined: 46% Draw Risk: 55%
xG: 1.12 - 0.52
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.1 vs 0.5
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Dagon Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
33%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
21%
3 goals:
8%
4 goals:
2%
Yadanarbon Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
60%
1 goals:
31%
2 goals:
8%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (22%) 0-0 (19%) 2-0 (12%) 1-1 (11%) 0-1 (10%) 2-1 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 27%
Over 2.5 Goals 23%
Under 2.5 Goals 77%
Dagon Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 04 Dagon vs Dagon Port 2-2
Jan 29 Dagon vs Ayeyawady… 0-2
Jan 23 Dagon vs Shan Unit… 1-3
Jan 16 Dagon vs Hantharwa… 3-0
Jan 11 Dagon vs Yarmanya … 0-1
Jan 05 Dagon vs Rakhine U… 0-2
Dec 30 Dagon vs Yadanarbon 2-2
Dec 25 Dagon vs Hantharwa… 1-3
Nov 02 Dagon vs Yangon Un… 0-1
Oct 27 Dagon vs Sagaing U… 2-2
Yadanarbon Form 4.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 05 Yadanarbon vs Rakhine U… 1-0
Jan 30 Yadanarbon vs Thitsar A… 1-3
Jan 22 Yadanarbon vs Yarmanya … 1-1
Jan 17 Yadanarbon vs I.S.P.E 2-2
Jan 13 Yadanarbon vs Sagaing U… 2-1
Jan 07 Yadanarbon vs Hantharwa… 1-4
Dec 30 Yadanarbon vs Dagon 2-2
Dec 23 Yadanarbon vs I.S.P.E 3-1
Nov 02 Yadanarbon vs Dagon Port 2-2
Oct 26 Yadanarbon vs Ayeyawady… 1-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Yadanarbon struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 1 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Dec 30, 2025 Yadanarbon 2 - 2 Dagon National League
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (18% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 18% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Dagon Power 0
Yadanarbon Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

3

Dagon Position

+4

Position Gap

7

Yadanarbon Position
Home Win Rate: 38%
Away Win Rate: 29%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.