AI Match Insights
National League Feb 19, 2026
Ayeyawady United
HomeVS
09:30
Rakhine United
AwayAI Predictions 39.0% Confidence
Ayeyawady United Win
Draw
Rakhine United Win
Home Win
(39% confidence)
Predicted Score: 0-1
Decision Justification
Player Score
40%
Momentum
41%
Standings
49%
Market
50%
Combined: 37%
Draw Risk: 55%
xG: 0.45 - 1.13
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Ayeyawady United Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
Rakhine United Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1 (23%)
0-0 (21%)
0-2 (13%)
1-1 (10%)
1-0 (9%)
1-2 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score)
25%
Over 2.5 Goals
21%
Under 2.5 Goals
79%
Ayeyawady United Form 6.0%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 29 | Ayeyawady… vs Dagon | 0-2 |
| Jan 24 | Ayeyawady… vs Hantharwa… | 1-3 |
| Jan 17 | Ayeyawady… vs Yangon Un… | 0-2 |
| Jan 13 | Ayeyawady… vs I.S.P.E | 0-1 |
| Jan 06 | Ayeyawady… vs Thitsar A… | 0-0 |
| Dec 29 | Ayeyawady… vs Rakhine U… | 1-1 |
| Dec 24 | Ayeyawady… vs Yangon Un… | 0-0 |
| Nov 03 | Ayeyawady… vs Sagaing U… | 1-2 |
| Oct 26 | Ayeyawady… vs Yadanarbon | 1-0 |
| Oct 19 | Ayeyawady… vs Hantharwa… | 1-1 |
Rakhine United Form 10.0%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 05 | Rakhine U… vs Yadanarbon | 1-0 |
| Jan 22 | Rakhine U… vs Thitsar A… | 0-0 |
| Jan 16 | Rakhine U… vs Yarmanya … | 1-2 |
| Jan 12 | Rakhine U… vs Yangon Un… | 1-7 |
| Jan 05 | Rakhine U… vs Dagon | 0-2 |
| Dec 29 | Rakhine U… vs Ayeyawady… | 1-1 |
| Dec 23 | Rakhine U… vs Yarmanya … | 4-1 |
| Nov 03 | Rakhine U… vs I.S.P.E | 4-1 |
| Oct 27 | Rakhine U… vs Dagon Port | 1-0 |
| Oct 20 | Rakhine U… vs Thitsar A… | 0-3 |
Key Analysis Factors
- Ayeyawady United struggling (3L in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 9 matches
| Date | Home Team | Score | Away Team | League |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 29, 2025 | Rakhine United | 1 - 1 | Ayeyawady United | National League |
| Feb 24, 2025 | Ayeyawady United | 1 - 2 | Rakhine United | National League |
| Sep 15, 2024 | Rakhine United | 1 - 1 | Ayeyawady United | National League |
| Dec 15, 2023 | Rakhine United | 2 - 2 | Ayeyawady United | National League |
| Jul 02, 2023 | Ayeyawady United | 2 - 2 | Rakhine United | National League |
| Nov 09, 2022 | Rakhine United | 0 - 0 | Ayeyawady United | National League |
| Jul 03, 2022 | Ayeyawady United | 3 - 0 | Rakhine United | National League |
| Sep 19, 2020 | Rakhine United | 1 - 2 | Ayeyawady United | National League |
| Aug 23, 2020 | Ayeyawady United | 4 - 0 | Rakhine United | National League |
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)
STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1
23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
- No key factors identified
Ayeyawady United Power
0
Rakhine United Power
0
Home Form
N/A
Away Form
N/A
League Standings Context
8
Ayeyawady United Position+2
Position Gap10
Rakhine United Position
Home Win Rate: 14%
Away Win Rate: 29%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis.
Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.