Liga Profesional Argentina · Feb 09, 2026 01:15

Vélez Sarsfield
PWR 35
1-0
predicted

Boca Juniors
PWR 35
43% H 25% D 32% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Vélez Sarsfield to win (61% confidence)
Prediction
1-0
Score
61%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
1-2 (10%) 0-2 (9%) 1-1 (8%) 0-1 (8%) 1-3 (7%) 0-3 (7%)
1X2H
Over/UnderOVER_25
BTTSBTTS_YES
Stability Protocol
PREMIUM · 5 rules · 74%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk21%
Accuracy68%
FORM_DOMINANTHOME_WIN_RATEHOME_TOP_POSITIONHOME_SCORINGAWAY_LEAKING
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line (65% avg across 10 backtests) AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ SAME_TIER: Close positions, 28.4% draw rateClose positions = higher draw riskStrong home team = lower draw riskConfidence 73.9% below league threshold 75.0%
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Vélez Sarsfield Form DWWLD
STABLE
Boca Juniors Form WLWLW
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.563%
BTTS60%
Under 2.537%
Vélez Sarsf… Goals
0
33%
1
37%
2
20%
3
8%
4
2%
Boca Juniors Goals
0
10%
1
23%
2
27%
3
20%
4
12%
Expected Goals (xG)
1.11
Vélez Sarsfield
vs
2.29
Boca Juniors
Decision Breakdown
HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%)HOME_FORT (73.3%)HWR60+ (68.3%)
Player40%
Momentum35%
Standings46%
Market50%
High draw risk (34%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#3
Vélez Sarsf…
-2
Gap
#1
Boca Juniors
WR 100% 123 pts WR 0% 135 pts
Vélez Sarsfield 12.0%
Jan 31 Vélez S… v Indepen… 1-1
Jan 27 Vélez S… v Tallere… 2-1
Jan 23 Vélez S… v Institu… 0-1
Nov 22 Vélez S… v Argenti… 0-2
Nov 16 Vélez S… v River P… 0-0
Nov 10 Vélez S… v Gimnasi… 2-0
Nov 01 Vélez S… v Tallere… 0-1
Oct 19 Vélez S… v Sarmien… 0-2
Oct 12 Vélez S… v Rosario… 1-2
Oct 06 Vélez S… v Deporti… 2-2
Boca Juniors 12.0%
Feb 01 Boca Ju… v Newell’… 2-0
Jan 29 Boca Ju… v Estudia… 2-1
Jan 25 Boca Ju… v Deporti… 1-0
Dec 07 Boca Ju… v Racing … 0-1
Nov 30 Boca Ju… v Argenti… 1-0
Nov 23 Boca Ju… v Tallere… 2-0
Nov 16 Boca Ju… v Tigre 2-0
Nov 09 Boca Ju… v River P… 2-0
Nov 02 Boca Ju… v Estudia… 1-2
Oct 27 Boca Ju… v Barraca… 1-3
Head-to-Head (1)
Nov 28, 2024 Boca Juniors 3-4 Vélez Sarsfie…
Key Factors
Boca Juniors in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.