AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Liga Profesional Argentina Feb 19, 2026

San Lorenzo de Almagro

Home
VS
20:15

Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto

Away
AI Predictions 49.0% Confidence
San Lorenzo de Almagro Win
49.0%
Draw
24.2%
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto Win
26.8%
Home Win (49% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%) GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 67%
Standings 94%
Market 50%
Combined: 52% Draw Risk: 55%
xG: 1.15 - 0.65
Key Insights
Position gap: 17 places
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
San Lorenzo de Almagro Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
32%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
21%
3 goals:
8%
4 goals:
2%
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
52%
1 goals:
34%
2 goals:
11%
3 goals:
2%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (19%) 0-0 (17%) 1-1 (12%) 2-0 (11%) 0-1 (11%) 2-1 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 33%
Over 2.5 Goals 27%
Under 2.5 Goals 73%
San Lorenzo de Almagro Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 31 San Loren… vs Central C… 1-0
Jan 27 San Loren… vs Gimnasia … 0-1
Jan 23 San Loren… vs Lanús 2-3
Jan 17 San Loren… vs Cerro Por… 0-0
Nov 23 San Loren… vs Central C… 2-1
Nov 15 San Loren… vs Sarmiento… 1-1
Nov 08 San Loren… vs Rosario C… 0-0
Oct 31 San Loren… vs Deportivo… 1-0
Oct 21 San Loren… vs Atlético … 1-2
Oct 10 San Loren… vs San Martí… 0-1
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 03 Estudiant… vs Banfield 2-1
Jan 30 Estudiant… vs Argentino… 0-0
Jan 26 Estudiant… vs Tigre 2-0
Dec 20 Estudiant… vs Platense 2-1
Dec 14 Estudiant… vs Racing Cl… 1-1
Dec 08 Estudiant… vs Gimnasia … 0-1
Nov 30 Estudiant… vs Deportivo… 1-1
Nov 30 Estudiant… vs Central C… 0-1
Nov 23 Estudiant… vs Deportivo… 2-0
Nov 23 Estudiant… vs Rosario C… 0-1
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Final Verdict

PRO: San Lorenzo de Almagro to win (65% confidence)

PRO Tier
Predicted: 1-0 65% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_15+ (79.5%) AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • Huge position gap: 17
San Lorenzo de Almagro Power 0
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

13

San Lorenzo de Almagro Position

+17

Position Gap

30

Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto Position
Home Win Rate: 50%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.