CONCACAF Gold Cup · Jul 16, 2023 23:30
New Mexico United
PWR 77
Panama
PWR 23
New Mexico United
PWR 77
1 - 0
FT
Panama
PWR 23
57% H
23% D
21% A
Final Verdict
ELITE: New Mexico United to win (95% confidence)
Prediction
1-0
Score
95%
Confidence
ELITE
Match Analyzer ELITE
Match Analyzer ELITE
Most Likely Scores:
1-0 (22%)
2-0 (22%)
3-0 (15%)
0-0 (11%)
1-1 (4%)
2-1 (4%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 1-0
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 3 rules · 72%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk21%
Accuracy42%
FORM_DOMINANTHOME_WIN_RATEHOME_TOP_POSITION
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line (65% avg across 10 backtests)
AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ SAME_TIER: Close positions, 28.4% draw rateClose positions = higher draw riskStrong home team = lower draw riskBelow minimum tier (need 4+ rules, got 3)
Power & Form
Attack35
Defense100
Goals/G1.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense65
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G1.0
New Mexico Uni… Form
WLLWD
STABLE
Panama Form
LLDL
DOWN
Score & Markets
Over 2.536%
BTTS16%
Under 2.564%
New Mexico … Goals
0
14%
1
27%
2
27%
3
18%
4
9%
Panama Goals
0
82%
1
16%
2
2%
3
0%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
2.00
New Mexico Uni…vs
0.20
PanamaDecision Breakdown
HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%)HOME_FORT (73.3%)HWR60+ (68.3%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum91%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (41%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#1
New Mexico …+3
Gap#4
Panama
WR 100% 3 pts
WR 0% 0 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| New Mexico Unit… | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| Panama | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
New Mexico Uni…
10.0%
| Jun 18 | New Mex… v Panama | 0-1 |
| Sep 01 | New Mex… v Paraguay | 0-1 |
| Jun 03 | New Mex… v CS Urug… | 0-3 |
| Feb 03 | New Mex… v Panama | 1-0 |
| Sep 09 | New Mex… v Panama | 1-1 |
| Jul 01 | New Mex… v Panama | 3-0 |
Panama
2.5%
| Jun 18 | Panama v New Mex… | 0-1 |
| Feb 03 | Panama v New Mex… | 1-0 |
| Sep 09 | Panama v New Mex… | 1-1 |
| Jul 01 | Panama v New Mex… | 3-0 |
Head-to-Head (4)
| Jun 18, 2023 | Panama | 0-1 | New Mexico Un… |
| Feb 03, 2022 | New Mexico Un… | 1-0 | Panama |
| Sep 09, 2021 | Panama | 1-1 | New Mexico Un… |
| Jul 01, 2021 | New Mexico Un… | 3-0 | Panama |
Key Factors
Panama struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.