AI Match Insights

First Division League (FDL) Feb 19, 2026

Al Jandal

Home
VS
18:45

Al-Raed

Away
AI Predictions 45.0% Confidence
Al Jandal Win
45.0%
Draw
25.0%
Al-Raed Win
30.0%
Home Win (45% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 78%
Standings 38%
Market 50%
Combined: 45% Draw Risk: 50%
xG: 1.51 - 0.68
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.5 vs 0.7
High draw risk (50%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Al Jandal Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
22%
1 goals:
33%
2 goals:
25%
3 goals:
13%
4 goals:
5%
Al-Raed Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
51%
1 goals:
34%
2 goals:
12%
3 goals:
3%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (17%) 2-0 (13%) 1-1 (11%) 0-0 (11%) 2-1 (9%) 0-1 (8%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 38%
Over 2.5 Goals 37%
Under 2.5 Goals 63%
Al Jandal Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 04 Al Jandal vs Al-Faisaly 4-2
Jan 27 Al Jandal vs Al Anwar 1-1
Jan 21 Al Jandal vs Al Zulfi 1-0
Jan 16 Al Jandal vs Al Arabi … 1-0
Jan 12 Al Jandal vs Al Wehda … 1-1
Jan 07 Al Jandal vs Al Taee 1-1
Jan 01 Al Jandal vs Al Orubah 1-0
Dec 25 Al Jandal vs Al-Adalah 0-3
Dec 21 Al Jandal vs Al Ula 5-1
Dec 12 Al Jandal vs Al Jubail 1-0
Al-Raed Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 02 Al-Raed vs Al Bukayr… 1-1
Jan 26 Al-Raed vs Al-Batin 1-1
Jan 22 Al-Raed vs Al-Adalah 6-3
Jan 17 Al-Raed vs Abha 2-1
Jan 13 Al-Raed vs Al Zulfi 1-2
Jan 07 Al-Raed vs Al Ula 3-2
Jan 01 Al-Raed vs Al-Faisaly 5-3
Dec 26 Al-Raed vs Al Diriyah 2-3
Dec 21 Al-Raed vs Al Orubah 0-0
Dec 14 Al-Raed vs Jeddah Cl… 0-0
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 1 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Oct 29, 2025 Al-Raed 4 - 1 Al Jandal First Division…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (18% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 18% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Al Jandal Power 0
Al-Raed Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

14

Al Jandal Position

-6

Position Gap

8

Al-Raed Position

Home Win Rate: 40%
Away Win Rate: 22%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.