AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Premier League Feb 18, 2026

Al Ittihad

Home
VS
19:30

Smouha SC

Away
AI Predictions 38.0% Confidence
Al Ittihad Win
35.0%
Draw
27.0%
Smouha SC Win
38.0%
Away Win (38% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 70%
Standings 30%
Market 50%
Combined: 42% Draw Risk: 55%
xG: 1.10 - 0.43
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.1 vs 0.4
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Al Ittihad Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
33%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
20%
3 goals:
7%
4 goals:
2%
Smouha SC Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
65%
1 goals:
28%
2 goals:
6%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (24%) 0-0 (22%) 2-0 (13%) 1-1 (10%) 0-1 (9%) 2-1 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 23%
Over 2.5 Goals 20%
Under 2.5 Goals 80%
Al Ittihad Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 30 Al Ittihad vs Haras El … 2-0
Jan 21 Al Ittihad vs Cerâmica … 3-1
Jan 17 Al Ittihad vs Haras El … 0-0
Jan 06 Al Ittihad vs Al-Masry … 1-1
Jan 01 Al Ittihad vs Zamalek SC 3-0
Dec 24 Al Ittihad vs Kahraba I… 1-1
Dec 20 Al Ittihad vs Smouha SC 0-0
Dec 11 Al Ittihad vs Al-Masry … 0-0
Nov 29 Al Ittihad vs Kahraba I… 0-1
Nov 23 Al Ittihad vs El Gouna 0-2
Smouha SC Form 18.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 04 Smouha SC vs Al Assiou… 2-1
Jan 29 Smouha SC vs Enppi 1-2
Jan 21 Smouha SC vs Pharco 2-0
Jan 11 Smouha SC vs Haras El … 1-0
Jan 08 Smouha SC vs Haras El … 1-1
Jan 05 Smouha SC vs Al-Masry … 2-0
Dec 30 Smouha SC vs Kahraba I… 2-2
Dec 25 Smouha SC vs Zamalek SC 0-1
Dec 20 Smouha SC vs Al Ittihad 0-0
Dec 10 Smouha SC vs Al-Masry … 1-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Smouha SC in strong form (4W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 10 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Dec 20, 2025 Smouha SC 0 - 0 Al Ittihad League Cup
May 16, 2025 Smouha SC 0 - 0 Al Ittihad Premier League
Mar 04, 2025 Al Ittihad 0 - 1 Smouha SC Premier League
May 14, 2024 Al Ittihad 0 - 2 Smouha SC Premier League
Jan 24, 2024 Al Ittihad 0 - 2 Smouha SC League Cup
Nov 03, 2023 Smouha SC 0 - 1 Al Ittihad Premier League
Apr 14, 2023 Al Ittihad 3 - 1 Smouha SC Premier League
Dec 19, 2022 Smouha SC 0 - 2 Al Ittihad Premier League
May 11, 2022 Al Ittihad 2 - 5 Smouha SC Premier League
Oct 25, 2021 Smouha SC 4 - 4 Al Ittihad Premier League
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Al Ittihad Power 0
Smouha SC Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

19

Al Ittihad Position

-14

Position Gap

5

Smouha SC Position
Home Win Rate: 25%
Away Win Rate: 29%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.