AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Liga Nacional Feb 01, 2026

Marquense

Home
VS
03:00

Antigua GFC

Away
AI Predictions 43.0% Confidence
Marquense Win
43.0%
Draw
25.4%
Antigua GFC Win
31.6%
Home Win (43% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 89%
Standings 36%
Market 50%
Combined: 48% Draw Risk: 30%
xG: 1.99 - 0.30
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.0 vs 0.3
High draw risk (30%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Marquense Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
14%
1 goals:
27%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
18%
4 goals:
9%
Antigua GFC Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
74%
1 goals:
22%
2 goals:
3%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (20%) 2-0 (20%) 3-0 (13%) 0-0 (10%) 1-1 (6%) 2-1 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 22%
Over 2.5 Goals 39%
Under 2.5 Goals 61%
Marquense Form 4.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 27 Marquense vs Cobán Imp… 2-0
Jan 25 Marquense vs Achuapa 1-0
Jan 22 Marquense vs Malacatec… 2-1
Nov 30 Marquense vs Municipal 0-2
Nov 23 Marquense vs Guastatoya 5-0
Nov 16 Marquense vs Mixco 1-2
Nov 12 Marquense vs Achuapa 0-0
Nov 08 Marquense vs Mictlán 1-1
Nov 06 Marquense vs XelajĂş 1-0
Nov 02 Marquense vs Malacatec… 2-1
Antigua GFC Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 29 Antigua G… vs Comunicac… 0-1
Jan 26 Antigua G… vs Xelajú 1-1
Jan 21 Antigua G… vs Cobán Imp… 5-1
Dec 28 Antigua G… vs Municipal 1-0
Dec 22 Antigua G… vs Municipal 2-0
Dec 18 Antigua G… vs Aurora 4-2
Dec 14 Antigua G… vs Aurora 0-1
Dec 12 Antigua G… vs Xelajú 2-0
Dec 09 Antigua G… vs Xelajú 1-0
Nov 30 Antigua G… vs Malacatec… 2-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Marquense struggling (4L in last 5) Home
  • Antigua GFC struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 5 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Oct 16, 2025 Marquense 3 - 2 Antigua GFC Liga Nacional
Jul 20, 2025 Antigua GFC 3 - 0 Marquense Liga Nacional
Apr 05, 2025 Antigua GFC 1 - 3 Marquense Liga Nacional
Feb 02, 2025 Marquense 0 - 0 Antigua GFC Liga Nacional
Oct 13, 2024 Antigua GFC 4 - 2 Marquense Liga Nacional
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Marquense Power 0
Antigua GFC Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

10

Marquense Position

-7

Position Gap

3

Antigua GFC Position
Home Win Rate: 55%
Away Win Rate: 46%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.