AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Liga Nacional Feb 07, 2026

Achuapa

Home
VS
21:00

Aurora

Away
AI Predictions 43.0% Confidence
Achuapa Win
43.0%
Draw
25.4%
Aurora Win
31.6%
Home Win (43% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 44%
Market 50%
Combined: 50% Draw Risk: 30%
xG: 4.50 - 0.67
Key Insights
xG dominance: 4.5 vs 0.7
High draw risk (30%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Achuapa Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1%
1 goals:
5%
2 goals:
11%
3 goals:
17%
4 goals:
19%
Aurora Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
51%
1 goals:
34%
2 goals:
12%
3 goals:
3%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (9%) 3-1 (6%) 2-0 (6%) 2-1 (4%) 1-0 (3%) 3-2 (2%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 48%
Over 2.5 Goals 59%
Under 2.5 Goals 41%
Achuapa Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 02 Achuapa vs Mictlán 0-0
Jan 28 Achuapa vs Mixco 2-0
Jan 25 Achuapa vs Marquense 1-0
Jan 21 Achuapa vs Comunicac… 2-3
Dec 19 Achuapa vs Municipal 3-0
Dec 14 Achuapa vs Municipal 1-1
Dec 11 Achuapa vs Mixco 0-0
Dec 07 Achuapa vs Mixco 3-2
Nov 30 Achuapa vs Guastatoya 1-1
Nov 22 Achuapa vs Mixco 5-1
Aurora Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 01 Aurora vs Malacatec… 1-0
Jan 28 Aurora vs Guastatoya 2-2
Jan 25 Aurora vs Municipal 2-2
Jan 21 Aurora vs XelajĂş 4-0
Dec 18 Aurora vs Antigua G… 4-2
Dec 14 Aurora vs Antigua G… 0-1
Dec 10 Aurora vs Malacatec… 2-1
Dec 07 Aurora vs Malacatec… 1-0
Nov 30 Aurora vs Mixco 1-0
Nov 22 Aurora vs Mictlán 4-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Achuapa struggling (3L in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 2 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Oct 18, 2025 Aurora 2 - 1 Achuapa Liga Nacional
Aug 10, 2025 Achuapa 1 - 2 Aurora Liga Nacional
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Achuapa Power 0
Aurora Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

7

Achuapa Position

-3

Position Gap

4

Aurora Position
Home Win Rate: 55%
Away Win Rate: 27%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.