AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Liga Nacional Feb 19, 2026

Malacateco FC

Home
VS
00:00

Xelajú

Away
AI Predictions 41.0% Confidence
Malacateco FC Win
41.0%
Draw
25.8%
Xelajú Win
33.2%
Home Win (41% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
M85+S60 (75.3%) HWR60+ (68.3%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 62%
Market 50%
Combined: 53% Draw Risk: 32%
xG: 2.42 - 0.20
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.4 vs 0.2
High draw risk (32%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Malacateco FC Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
9%
1 goals:
22%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
21%
4 goals:
13%
Xelajú Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
82%
1 goals:
16%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (21%) 1-0 (18%) 3-0 (17%) 0-0 (7%) 2-1 (4%) 1-1 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 17%
Over 2.5 Goals 45%
Under 2.5 Goals 55%
Malacateco FC Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 01 Malacatec… vs Aurora 1-0
Jan 30 Malacatec… vs Mictlán 2-0
Jan 25 Malacatec… vs Mixco 1-0
Jan 22 Malacatec… vs Marquense 2-1
Dec 10 Malacatec… vs Aurora 2-1
Dec 07 Malacatec… vs Aurora 1-0
Nov 30 Malacatec… vs Antigua G… 2-0
Nov 23 Malacatec… vs Comunicac… 2-0
Nov 15 Malacatec… vs Cobán Imp… 0-1
Nov 09 Malacatec… vs Aurora 1-0
Xelajú Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 05 Xelajú vs Monterrey 1-1
Feb 01 Xelajú vs Comunicac… 2-0
Jan 29 Xelajú vs Municipal 1-0
Jan 26 Xelajú vs Antigua G… 1-1
Jan 21 Xelajú vs Aurora 4-0
Dec 12 Xelajú vs Antigua G… 2-0
Dec 09 Xelajú vs Antigua G… 1-0
Nov 30 Xelajú vs Comunicac… 0-1
Nov 27 Xelajú vs LD Alajue… 1-1
Nov 22 Xelajú vs Cobán Imp… 3-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Malacateco FC struggling (3L in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 2 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Sep 29, 2025 Xelajú 3 - 0 Malacateco FC Liga Nacional
Jul 20, 2025 Malacateco FC 0 - 1 Xelajú Liga Nacional
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Malacateco FC Power 0
Xelajú Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

5

Malacateco FC Position

+1

Position Gap

6

Xelajú Position
Home Win Rate: 64%
Away Win Rate: 27%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.