AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Copa De La Liga Auf Jan 23, 2026

Peñarol Montevideo

Home
VS
23:30

Boston River

Away
AI Predictions 39.0% Confidence
Peñarol Montevideo Win
39.0%
Draw
26.2%
Boston River Win
34.8%
Home Win (39% confidence)
Predicted Score: 0-0
Decision Justification
Player Score 40%
Momentum 53%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 41% Draw Risk: 55%
xG: 0.60 - 0.72
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Peñarol Montevideo Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
55%
1 goals:
33%
2 goals:
10%
3 goals:
2%
4 goals:
0%
Boston River Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
49%
1 goals:
35%
2 goals:
13%
3 goals:
3%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0 (27%) 0-1 (19%) 1-0 (16%) 1-1 (12%) 0-2 (7%) 2-0 (5%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 23%
Over 2.5 Goals 15%
Under 2.5 Goals 85%
Peñarol Montevideo Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 22 Peñarol M… vs Colo-Colo 1-1
Jan 20 Peñarol M… vs Racing Cl… 1-0
Jan 18 Peñarol M… vs River Pla… 0-0
Jan 18 Peñarol M… vs River Pla… 0-0
Jan 13 Peñarol M… vs Albion FC 0-2
Jan 13 Peñarol M… vs Central E… 0-0
Nov 09 Peñarol M… vs Atletico … 0-1
Nov 07 Peñarol M… vs Cerro Lar… 2-0
Nov 02 Peñarol M… vs Defensor … 2-1
Nov 01 Peñarol M… vs Juventud 0-1
Boston River Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 18 Boston Ri… vs Albion FC 1-1
Jan 12 Boston Ri… vs Danubio 1-0
Nov 09 Boston Ri… vs Cerrito 0-0
Oct 31 Boston Ri… vs Rangers FC 2-2
Oct 27 Boston Ri… vs Miramar 0-4
Oct 17 Boston Ri… vs Danubio 0-0
Oct 11 Boston Ri… vs Cerro Lar… 2-2
Oct 04 Boston Ri… vs Juventud 0-0
Sep 27 Boston Ri… vs Peñarol M… 2-1
Sep 20 Boston Ri… vs Plaza Col… 6-1
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 10 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Sep 27, 2025 Peñarol Montevideo 2 - 1 Boston River Primera Divisi…
Aug 15, 2025 Boston River 2 - 1 Peñarol Montevideo Primera Divisi…
Feb 15, 2025 Peñarol Montevideo 1 - 1 Boston River Primera Divisi…
Oct 19, 2024 Peñarol Montevideo 2 - 0 Boston River Primera Divisi…
Jun 23, 2024 Peñarol Montevideo 1 - 0 Boston River Primera Divisi…
Apr 20, 2024 Boston River 1 - 3 Peñarol Montevideo Primera Divisi…
Feb 05, 2024 Peñarol Montevideo 2 - 0 Boston River Copa Uruguay
Nov 29, 2023 Peñarol Montevideo 2 - 0 Boston River Primera Divisi…
Sep 02, 2023 Boston River 0 - 1 Peñarol Montevideo Primera Divisi…
Jul 16, 2023 Peñarol Montevideo 2 - 1 Boston River Primera Divisi…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Peñarol Montevideo to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Peñarol Montevideo Power 0
Boston River Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.