AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Sudani Premier League Nov 28, 2022

Al Fallah

Home
VS
16:30

Al-Ahly Merowe

Away
AI Predictions 46.0% Confidence
Al Fallah Win
46.0%
Draw
24.8%
Al-Ahly Merowe Win
29.2%
Home Win (46% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 70%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 45% Draw Risk: 52%
xG: 1.36 - 0.62
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.4 vs 0.6
High draw risk (52%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Al Fallah Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
26%
1 goals:
35%
2 goals:
24%
3 goals:
11%
4 goals:
4%
Al-Ahly Merowe Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
54%
1 goals:
33%
2 goals:
10%
3 goals:
2%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (19%) 0-0 (14%) 2-0 (13%) 1-1 (12%) 0-1 (9%) 2-1 (8%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 34%
Over 2.5 Goals 32%
Under 2.5 Goals 68%
Al Fallah Form 5.0%
Date Match Result
Nov 04 Al Fallah vs Alamal At… 0-1
Sep 16 Al Fallah vs Alamal At… 2-2
Al-Ahly Merowe Form 4.0%
Date Match Result
Nov 24 Al-Ahly M… vs Alamal At… 1-1
Jun 29 Al-Ahly M… vs Alamal At… 0-0
Mar 01 Al-Ahly M… vs Alamal At… 2-1
Aug 02 Al-Ahly M… vs Alamal At… 0-2
Feb 15 Al-Ahly M… vs Alamal At… 1-0
Sep 19 Al-Ahly M… vs Alamal At… 1-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Al-Ahly Merowe struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Al Fallah to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Al Fallah Power 0
Al-Ahly Merowe Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.