Sudani Premier League · Apr 09, 2023 19:00
Al-Ahly Merowe
PWR 35
1 - 1
FT
Al Fallah
PWR 43
43% H 26% D 32% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Prediction
1-1
Score
43%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
0-1 (16%) 0-0 (13%) 1-1 (13%) 1-0 (11%) 0-2 (9%) 1-2 (8%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 1-1
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 45%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk43%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Teams too similar - high draw probabilityClose positions = higher draw riskWeak home team = higher draw riskSAME_STATS: WR diff only 4% = high draw riskElite league - reduced threshold
SAME_STATS: WR diff 4%, pos gap 2
Power & Form
Attack26
Defense62
Goals/G0.8
Conc/G1.1
Attack31
Defense76
Goals/G0.9
Conc/G0.7
Al-Ahly Merowe Form WLDDL
STABLE
Al Fallah Form DWLD
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.533%
BTTS40%
Under 2.567%
Al-Ahly Mer… Goals
0
43%
1
36%
2
15%
3
4%
4
1%
Al Fallah Goals
0
30%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4
3%
Expected Goals (xG)
0.84
Al-Ahly Merowe
vs
1.19
Al Fallah
Decision Breakdown
Player40%
Momentum47%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#11
Al-Ahly Mer…
+2
Gap
#13
Al Fallah
WR 15% 19 pts WR 19% 18 pts
TeamPWDLGFGAPts
Al-Ahly Merowe203107152219
Al Fallah16394141118
Al-Ahly Merowe 8.0%
Apr 06 Al-Ahly… v Alamal … 3-1
Nov 28 Al-Ahly… v Al Fall… 4-0
Nov 24 Al-Ahly… v Alamal … 1-1
Jun 29 Al-Ahly… v Alamal … 0-0
Mar 01 Al-Ahly… v Alamal … 2-1
Aug 02 Al-Ahly… v Alamal … 0-2
Feb 15 Al-Ahly… v Alamal … 1-0
Sep 19 Al-Ahly… v Alamal … 1-1
Al Fallah 10.0%
Mar 17 Al Fall… v Alamal … 0-0
Nov 28 Al Fall… v Al-Ahly… 4-0
Nov 04 Al Fall… v Alamal … 0-1
Sep 16 Al Fall… v Alamal … 2-2
Head-to-Head (1)
Nov 28, 2022 Al Fallah 4-0 Al-Ahly Merowe
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.