Sudani Premier League · Apr 09, 2023 19:00
Al-Ahly Merowe
PWR 35
PWR 35
1 - 1
FT
Al Fallah
PWR 43
PWR 43
43% H
26% D
32% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Prediction
1-1
Score
43%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
0-1 (16%)
0-0 (13%)
1-1 (13%)
1-0 (11%)
0-2 (9%)
1-2 (8%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 1-1
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 45%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk43%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Teams too similar - high draw probabilityClose positions = higher draw riskWeak home team = higher draw riskSAME_STATS: WR diff only 4% = high draw riskElite league - reduced threshold
SAME_STATS: WR diff 4%, pos gap 2
Power & Form
Attack26
Defense62
Goals/G0.8
Conc/G1.1
Attack31
Defense76
Goals/G0.9
Conc/G0.7
Al-Ahly Merowe Form
WLDDL
STABLE
Al Fallah Form
DWLD
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.533%
BTTS40%
Under 2.567%
Al-Ahly Mer… Goals
0
43%
1
36%
2
15%
3
4%
4
1%
Al Fallah Goals
0
30%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4
3%
Expected Goals (xG)
0.84
Al-Ahly Merowevs
1.19
Al FallahDecision Breakdown
Player40%
Momentum47%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#11
Al-Ahly Mer…+2
Gap#13
Al Fallah
WR 15% 19 pts
WR 19% 18 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al-Ahly Merowe | 20 | 3 | 10 | 7 | 15 | 22 | 19 |
| Al Fallah | 16 | 3 | 9 | 4 | 14 | 11 | 18 |
Al-Ahly Merowe
8.0%
| Apr 06 | Al-Ahly… v Alamal … | 3-1 |
| Nov 28 | Al-Ahly… v Al Fall… | 4-0 |
| Nov 24 | Al-Ahly… v Alamal … | 1-1 |
| Jun 29 | Al-Ahly… v Alamal … | 0-0 |
| Mar 01 | Al-Ahly… v Alamal … | 2-1 |
| Aug 02 | Al-Ahly… v Alamal … | 0-2 |
| Feb 15 | Al-Ahly… v Alamal … | 1-0 |
| Sep 19 | Al-Ahly… v Alamal … | 1-1 |
Al Fallah
10.0%
| Mar 17 | Al Fall… v Alamal … | 0-0 |
| Nov 28 | Al Fall… v Al-Ahly… | 4-0 |
| Nov 04 | Al Fall… v Alamal … | 0-1 |
| Sep 16 | Al Fall… v Alamal … | 2-2 |
Head-to-Head (1)
| Nov 28, 2022 | Al Fallah | 4-0 | Al-Ahly Merowe |
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.