AI Match Insights

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Primera División - Apertura May 23, 2021

Progreso

Home
VS
18:00

Club Nacional

Away
AI Predictions 52.0% Confidence
Progreso Win
17.5%
Draw
30.5%
Club Nacional Win
52.0%
Away Win (52% confidence)
Predicted Score: 0-2
Decision Justification
Player Score 40%
Momentum 35%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 36% Draw Risk: 28%
xG: 0.70 - 2.41
High draw risk (28%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Progreso Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
50%
1 goals:
35%
2 goals:
12%
3 goals:
3%
4 goals:
1%
Club Nacional Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
9%
1 goals:
22%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
21%
4 goals:
13%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-2 (13%) 0-1 (11%) 0-3 (10%) 1-2 (9%) 1-1 (8%) 1-3 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 46%
Over 2.5 Goals 56%
Under 2.5 Goals 44%
Progreso Form 2.5%
Date Match Result
Feb 18 Progreso vs Club Naci… 0-1
Feb 11 Progreso vs Defensor … 3-3
Aug 26 Progreso vs Club Naci… 2-1
Aug 19 Progreso vs Defensor … 2-1
Club Nacional Form 20.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 28 Club Naci… vs Deportivo… 1-2
Feb 18 Club Naci… vs Progreso 0-1
Aug 26 Club Naci… vs Progreso 2-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Club Nacional in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
  • Progreso struggling (3L in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 2 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Feb 18, 2021 Progreso 0 - 1 Club Nacional Primera Divisi…
Aug 26, 2020 Club Nacional 2 - 1 Progreso Primera Divisi…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Progreso to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Progreso Power 0
Club Nacional Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.