Primera División - Clausura · Sep 19, 2021 18:30

Club Nacional
PWR 62

Progreso
PWR 33

Club Nacional
PWR 62
0 - 1
FT

Progreso
PWR 33
73% H
19% D
8% A
Final Verdict
ELITE: Club Nacional to win (95% confidence)
Prediction
1-0
Score
95%
Confidence
ELITE
Match Analyzer ELITE
Match Analyzer ELITE
Most Likely Scores:
3-0 (12%)
2-0 (8%)
3-1 (5%)
1-0 (4%)
2-1 (3%)
1-1 (1%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 0-1
Stability Protocol
STANDARD · 2 rules · 55%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk20%
Accuracy56%
POSITION_GAPPOINTS_GAP
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line for draw protection
AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)Large gap = lower draw riskBelow minimum tier (need 4+ rules, got 2)
Power & Form
Attack60
Defense71
Goals/G1.7
Conc/G0.8
Attack36
Defense38
Goals/G1.0
Conc/G1.8
Club Nacional Form
WWWWW
UP
Progreso Form
LLDLL
DOWN
Score & Markets
Over 2.558%
BTTS32%
Under 2.542%
Club Nacion… Goals
0
1%
1
6%
2
12%
3
18%
4
19%
Progreso Goals
0
68%
1
26%
2
5%
3
1%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
4.34
Club Nacionalvs
0.39
ProgresoDecision Breakdown
POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%)GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)TOP5vsBOT (72.7%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum94%
Standings50%
Market50%
League Standings
#2
Club Nacion…+10
Gap#12
Progreso
WR 54% 71 pts
WR 24% 24 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Club Nacional | 37 | 20 | 11 | 6 | 63 | 31 | 71 |
| Progreso | 25 | 6 | 6 | 13 | 26 | 44 | 24 |
Club Nacional
20.0%
| Aug 01 | Club Na… v Deporti… | 2-0 |
| May 23 | Club Na… v Progreso | 1-3 |
| Mar 28 | Club Na… v Deporti… | 1-2 |
| Feb 18 | Club Na… v Progreso | 0-1 |
| Aug 26 | Club Na… v Progreso | 2-1 |
Progreso
2.0%
| May 23 | Progreso v Club Na… | 1-3 |
| Feb 18 | Progreso v Club Na… | 0-1 |
| Feb 11 | Progreso v Defenso… | 3-3 |
| Aug 26 | Progreso v Club Na… | 2-1 |
| Aug 19 | Progreso v Defenso… | 2-1 |
Head-to-Head (3)
| May 23, 2021 | Progreso | 1-3 | Club Nacional |
| Feb 18, 2021 | Progreso | 0-1 | Club Nacional |
| Aug 26, 2020 | Club Nacional | 2-1 | Progreso |
Key Factors
Club Nacional in strong form (5W in last 5)
Progreso struggling (4L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.