Primera División - Apertura · Mar 23, 2024 21:30
Club Nacional
PWR 35
Progreso
PWR 35
Club Nacional
PWR 35
0 - 0
FT
Progreso
PWR 35
39% H
26% D
35% A
Final Verdict
MASTER: Club Nacional to win (84% confidence)
Prediction
1-0
Score
84%
Confidence
MASTER
Match Analyzer MASTER
Match Analyzer MASTER
Most Likely Scores:
1-3 (8%)
1-2 (7%)
2-3 (6%)
2-2 (5%)
0-3 (5%)
0-2 (5%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 0-0
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 1 rules · 37%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk26%
Accuracy38%
POSITION_GAP
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line for draw protection
AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)Large gap = lower draw riskWeak home team = higher draw riskElevated draw risk (26.1%) - consider AHBelow minimum tier (need 4+ rules, got 1)
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Club Nacional Form
LDWWW
STABLE
Progreso Form
WWWWD
UP
Score & Markets
Over 2.574%
BTTS73%
Under 2.526%
Club Nacion… Goals
0
23%
1
34%
2
25%
3
12%
4
4%
Progreso Goals
0
5%
1
14%
2
22%
3
22%
4
17%
Expected Goals (xG)
1.46
Club Nacionalvs
3.08
ProgresoDecision Breakdown
POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)
Player40%
Momentum35%
Standings62%
Market50%
High draw risk (33%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#8
Club Nacion…+8
Gap#16
Progreso
WR 0% 0 pts
WR 0% 0 pts
Club Nacional
14.0%
| Feb 06 | Club Na… v Peñarol… | 2-1 |
| Dec 07 | Club Na… v Atletic… | 1-1 |
| Dec 04 | Club Na… v Defenso… | 1-0 |
| Nov 30 | Club Na… v La Luz | 0-1 |
| Nov 26 | Club Na… v Rangers… | 3-1 |
| Nov 20 | Club Na… v Fenix | 1-1 |
| Nov 16 | Club Na… v Danubio | 1-3 |
| Oct 23 | Club Na… v Deporti… | 1-3 |
| Oct 19 | Club Na… v Boston … | 2-0 |
| Aug 26 | Club Na… v Cerro L… | 2-2 |
Progreso
18.0%
| Dec 03 | Progreso v Uruguay… | 1-3 |
| Nov 29 | Progreso v Albion … | 3-2 |
| Nov 24 | Progreso v Sud Amé… | 0-4 |
| Nov 18 | Progreso v Juventud | 2-1 |
| Nov 14 | Progreso v Atenas | 1-1 |
| Jul 07 | Progreso v Juventud | 1-1 |
| Apr 29 | Progreso v Juventud | 1-5 |
| Nov 03 | Progreso v Defenso… | 3-1 |
| Oct 26 | Progreso v Defenso… | 1-1 |
| Sep 25 | Progreso v Central… | 1-1 |
Head-to-Head (4)
| Sep 19, 2021 | Club Nacional | 0-1 | Progreso |
| May 23, 2021 | Progreso | 1-3 | Club Nacional |
| Feb 18, 2021 | Progreso | 0-1 | Club Nacional |
| Aug 26, 2020 | Club Nacional | 2-1 | Progreso |
Key Factors
Club Nacional in strong form (3W in last 5)
Progreso in strong form (4W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.