Predictions Match Details
Primera División - Apertura · Feb 16, 2025 20:00

Progreso
PWR 35
1 - 5
FT

Club Nacional
PWR 35
27% H 29% D 44% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (42% confidence)
Prediction
1-1
Score
42%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
0-3 (14%) 0-2 (11%) 0-1 (5%) 1-3 (4%) 1-2 (3%) 1-1 (2%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 1-5
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 1 rules · 37%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeAWAY
Draw Risk26%
Accuracy38%
HOME_LEAKING
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line for draw protection AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)Large gap = lower draw riskWeak home team = higher draw riskElevated draw risk (26.1%) - consider AH
Away prediction needs 72%+ confidence
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Progreso Form LLDLD
DOWN
Club Nacional Form DWDWW
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.559%
BTTS25%
Under 2.541%
Progreso Goals
0
74%
1
22%
2
3%
3
0%
4
0%
Club Nacion… Goals
0
2%
1
7%
2
15%
3
20%
4
20%
Expected Goals (xG)
0.30
Progreso
vs
4.00
Club Nacional
Decision Breakdown
Player40%
Momentum35%
Standings32%
Market50%
High draw risk (35%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#16
Progreso
-9
Gap
#7
Club Nacion…
WR 0% 0 pts WR 0% 0 pts
Progreso 4.0%
Nov 30 Progreso v Cerro L… 2-1
Nov 27 Progreso v Peñarol… 1-5
Nov 18 Progreso v Fenix 2-2
Nov 14 Progreso v Defenso… 3-0
Nov 10 Progreso v Rangers… 0-0
Nov 03 Progreso v Peñarol… 2-1
Sep 29 Progreso v Club Na… 0-3
Jul 27 Progreso v Fenix 1-1
Jul 21 Progreso v Deporti… 0-1
Jul 14 Progreso v Rangers… 4-2
Club Nacional 16.0%
Dec 06 Club Na… v Defenso… 2-2
Dec 01 Club Na… v Boston … 3-1
Nov 28 Club Na… v Danubio 0-0
Nov 23 Club Na… v Atletic… 4-0
Nov 16 Club Na… v Deporti… 5-2
Nov 13 Club Na… v Fenix 0-6
Nov 08 Club Na… v Racing … 0-2
Nov 02 Club Na… v Cerrito 2-0
Oct 29 Club Na… v Plaza C… 4-0
Oct 13 Club Na… v Cerro L… 0-1
Head-to-Head (6)
Sep 29, 2024 Progreso 0-3 Club Nacional
Mar 23, 2024 Club Nacional 0-0 Progreso
Sep 19, 2021 Club Nacional 0-1 Progreso
May 23, 2021 Progreso 1-3 Club Nacional
Feb 18, 2021 Progreso 0-1 Club Nacional
Aug 26, 2020 Club Nacional 2-1 Progreso
Key Factors
Club Nacional in strong form (3W in last 5)
Progreso struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.