AI Match Insights

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Primera División Femenina May 13, 2023

Barcelona Women

Home
VS
10:00

Athletic Club Women

Away
AI Predictions 59.0% Confidence
Barcelona Women Win
59.0%
Draw
22.2%
Athletic Club Women Win
18.8%
Home Win (59% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
S70+DR<22 (82.1%) M75+S65+DR<22 (81.1%) HWR75+DR<22 (80.6%) M70+S70+DR<22 (80.6%) GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%) M85+S60 (75.3%) HWR80+DR<25 (75.0%) GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) HOME_FORT (73.3%) HWR60+ (68.3%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 74%
Market 50%
Combined: 65% Draw Risk: 17%
xG: 3.40 - 0.20
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.4 vs 0.2 Position gap: 7 places
Score Prediction Analysis
Barcelona Women Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
3%
1 goals:
11%
2 goals:
19%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
19%
Athletic Club Women Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
82%
1 goals:
16%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (18%) 2-0 (16%) 1-0 (9%) 3-1 (4%) 2-1 (3%) 0-0 (3%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 18%
Over 2.5 Goals 57%
Under 2.5 Goals 43%
Barcelona Women Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
May 10 Barcelona… vs Sevilla F… 1-1
Apr 27 Barcelona… vs Chelsea W… 1-1
Apr 22 Barcelona… vs Chelsea W… 0-1
Apr 15 Barcelona… vs Atlético … 4-0
Apr 02 Barcelona… vs Alhama 0-2
Mar 25 Barcelona… vs Real Madr… 1-0
Jan 29 Barcelona… vs Granadill… 0-6
Jan 25 Barcelona… vs Levante L… 7-0
Jan 07 Barcelona… vs Sevilla F… 4-0
Dec 15 Barcelona… vs Benfica 2-6
Athletic Club Women Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 29 Athletic … vs Levante L… 0-1
Apr 02 Athletic … vs Real Soci… 1-1
Mar 18 Athletic … vs Madrid CF… 3-2
Feb 04 Athletic … vs Granadill… 0-1
Jan 28 Athletic … vs Real Madr… 2-1
Jan 24 Athletic … vs Levante W… 0-3
Jan 08 Athletic … vs Levante L… 2-0
Dec 03 Athletic … vs Madrid CF… 0-2
Nov 19 Athletic … vs Real Soci… 1-3
Nov 01 Athletic … vs Granadill… 0-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • Barcelona Women in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
  • Athletic Club Women struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 4 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Oct 15, 2022 Athletic Club Women 0 - 3 Barcelona Women Primera Divisi…
Feb 13, 2022 Athletic Club Women 0 - 3 Barcelona Women Primera Divisi…
Dec 04, 2021 Barcelona Women 4 - 0 Athletic Club Women Primera Divisi…
Jun 22, 2021 Athletic Club Women 0 - 4 Barcelona Women Primera Divisi…
Final Verdict

ELITE: Barcelona Women to win (95% confidence)

ELITE Tier
Predicted: 1-0 95% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_5+ (66.8%) HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE POWER_HOME_25+ (68%) SCORING_THREAT_HOME
Key Factors
  • Power: 67 vs 32
Barcelona Women Power 67
Athletic Club Women Power 32
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

1

Barcelona Women Position

+7

Position Gap

8

Athletic Club Women Position
Home Win Rate: 100%
Away Win Rate: 33%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.