AI Match Insights

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Primera DivisiĂłn Femenina Feb 14, 2024

Atlético Madrid Women

Home
VS
19:00

Real Madrid Women

Away
AI Predictions 55.0% Confidence
Atlético Madrid Women Win
55.0%
Draw
23.0%
Real Madrid Women Win
22.0%
Home Win (55% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 90%
Standings 44%
Market 50%
Combined: 49% Draw Risk: 31%
xG: 2.22 - 0.45
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.2 vs 0.5
High draw risk (31%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Atlético Madrid Women Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
11%
1 goals:
24%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
20%
4 goals:
11%
Real Madrid Women Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
64%
1 goals:
29%
2 goals:
7%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (17%) 1-0 (15%) 3-0 (13%) 2-1 (8%) 0-0 (7%) 1-1 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 32%
Over 2.5 Goals 47%
Under 2.5 Goals 53%
Atlético Madrid Women Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 27 Atlético … vs Levante L… 1-1
Dec 16 Atlético … vs Real Soci… 1-1
Nov 26 Atlético … vs Granada 2-0
Nov 11 Atlético … vs Eibar Wom… 3-0
Oct 15 Atlético … vs Barcelona… 0-1
Oct 07 Atlético … vs Sevilla F… 2-1
May 06 Atlético … vs Levante L… 0-1
Apr 15 Atlético … vs Barcelona… 4-0
Mar 12 Atlético … vs Real Madr… 0-0
Mar 04 Atlético … vs Real Soci… 1-2
Real Madrid Women Form 4.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 27 Real Madr… vs Athletic … 0-1
Jan 17 Real Madr… vs Barcelona… 4-0
Dec 20 Real Madr… vs Paris FC … 0-1
Dec 14 Real Madr… vs Paris FC … 2-1
Dec 09 Real Madr… vs Sevilla F… 1-3
Nov 19 Real Madr… vs Barcelona… 5-0
Nov 10 Real Madr… vs Real Soci… 7-1
Oct 22 Real Madr… vs Levante W… 1-2
Oct 14 Real Madr… vs Granada 2-5
May 19 Real Madr… vs Real Soci… 1-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Real Madrid Women struggling (4L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 4 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Mar 12, 2023 Atlético Madrid Wom… 0 - 0 Real Madrid Women Primera Divisi…
Dec 11, 2022 Real Madrid Women 1 - 0 Atlético Madrid Wom… Primera Divisi…
Mar 09, 2022 Atlético Madrid Wom… 0 - 2 Real Madrid Women Primera Divisi…
Sep 12, 2021 Real Madrid Women 0 - 2 Atlético Madrid Wom… Primera Divisi…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (33% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 33% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Atlético Madrid Women Power 42
Real Madrid Women Power 51
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

5

Atlético Madrid Women Position

-3

Position Gap

2

Real Madrid Women Position
Home Win Rate: 40%
Away Win Rate: 50%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.