AI Match Insights

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Primera DivisiĂłn Femenina Oct 13, 2024

Real Madrid Women

Home
VS
18:00

Atlético Madrid Women

Away
AI Predictions 49.0% Confidence
Real Madrid Women Win
49.0%
Draw
24.2%
Atlético Madrid Women Win
26.8%
Home Win (49% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
HOME_FORT (73.3%) HWR60+ (68.3%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 78%
Standings 70%
Market 50%
Combined: 50% Draw Risk: 31%
xG: 1.59 - 0.74
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.6 vs 0.7
High draw risk (31%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Real Madrid Women Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
20%
1 goals:
32%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
14%
4 goals:
5%
Atlético Madrid Women Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
48%
1 goals:
35%
2 goals:
13%
3 goals:
3%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (15%) 2-0 (12%) 1-1 (11%) 0-0 (10%) 2-1 (9%) 0-1 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 42%
Over 2.5 Goals 41%
Under 2.5 Goals 59%
Real Madrid Women Form 20.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 22 Real Madr… vs Athletic … 2-0
Sep 06 Real Madr… vs Espanyol … 0-5
Jun 14 Real Madr… vs Sporting … 1-4
Jun 09 Real Madr… vs Athletic … 1-0
May 26 Real Madr… vs Real Soci… 1-2
May 11 Real Madr… vs Atlético … 2-3
May 05 Real Madr… vs Madrid CF… 0-1
Apr 28 Real Madr… vs Levante L… 2-1
Apr 20 Real Madr… vs Levante W… 2-4
Apr 14 Real Madr… vs Granada 5-0
Atlético Madrid Women Form 18.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 11 Atlético … vs Granada 2-0
Sep 07 Atlético … vs Rangers W… 3-0
Jun 15 Atlético … vs Villarreal 1-0
Jun 09 Atlético … vs Sevilla F… 1-1
May 24 Atlético … vs Levante L… 3-1
May 11 Atlético … vs Real Madr… 2-3
May 04 Atlético … vs Granadill… 1-0
Apr 28 Atlético … vs Real Soci… 0-2
Mar 24 Atlético … vs Eibar Wom… 1-1
Mar 17 Atlético … vs Granada 0-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Real Madrid Women in strong form (5W in last 5) Home
  • AtlĂ©tico Madrid Women in strong form (4W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 6 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
May 11, 2024 Real Madrid Women 2 - 3 Atlético Madrid Wom… Primera Divisi…
Feb 14, 2024 Atlético Madrid Wom… 1 - 1 Real Madrid Women Primera Divisi…
Mar 12, 2023 Atlético Madrid Wom… 0 - 0 Real Madrid Women Primera Divisi…
Dec 11, 2022 Real Madrid Women 1 - 0 Atlético Madrid Wom… Primera Divisi…
Mar 09, 2022 Atlético Madrid Wom… 0 - 2 Real Madrid Women Primera Divisi…
Sep 12, 2021 Real Madrid Women 0 - 2 Atlético Madrid Wom… Primera Divisi…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Real Madrid Women to win (51% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 2-1 51% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Real Madrid Women Power 51
Atlético Madrid Women Power 42
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

2

Real Madrid Women Position

+3

Position Gap

5

Atlético Madrid Women Position
Home Win Rate: 89%
Away Win Rate: 38%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.