FA Cup · Feb 06, 2026 19:45

Airdrieonians
PWR 57
1 - 2
FT

St. Mirren
PWR 47
45% H 25% D 30% A
Final Verdict
ELITE: Airdrieonians to win (85% confidence)
Prediction
2-1
Score
85%
Confidence
ELITE
Match Analyzer ELITE
Most Likely Scores:
1-0 (23%) 0-0 (19%) 2-0 (14%) 1-1 (11%) 0-1 (9%) 2-1 (6%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 1-2
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 3 rules · 72%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk20%
Accuracy42%
POSITION_GAPAWAY_BOTTOM_POSITIONHOME_SCORING
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line (65% avg across 10 backtests) AH_025
Full data available (Tier 1)Large gap = lower draw riskBelow minimum tier (need 4+ rules, got 3)
Power & Form
Attack70
Defense45
Goals/G2.0
Conc/G1.6
Attack35
Defense71
Goals/G1.0
Conc/G0.8
Airdrieonians Form DWLDD
STABLE
St. Mirren Form WDDDL
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.523%
BTTS26%
Under 2.577%
Airdrieonia… Goals
0
30%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4
3%
St. Mirren Goals
0
63%
1
29%
2
7%
3
1%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
1.19
Airdrieonians
vs
0.46
St. Mirren
Decision Breakdown
POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%)GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum71%
Standings50%
Market35%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#9
Airdrieonia…
+17
Gap
#26
St. Mirren
WR 57% 13 pts WR 33% 9 pts
TeamPWDLGFGAPts
Airdrieonians7412141113
St. Mirren6231659
Airdrieonians 10.0%
Feb 03 Airdrie… v Arbroath 2-2
Jan 31 Airdrie… v Dunferm… 0-2
Jan 24 Airdrie… v Ross Co… 0-1
Jan 17 Airdrie… v Arbroath 2-2
Jan 10 Airdrie… v Ayr Utd 1-1
Jan 06 Airdrie… v Montrose 3-1
Jan 03 Airdrie… v Raith R… 0-0
Dec 27 Airdrie… v Arbroath 1-1
Dec 20 Airdrie… v Queen's… 0-3
Dec 13 Airdrie… v Morton 0-1
St. Mirren 10.0%
Feb 03 St. Mir… v Heart o… 1-0
Jan 31 St. Mir… v Dundee 0-0
Jan 20 St. Mir… v Livings… 1-1
Jan 17 St. Mir… v Livings… 1-1
Jan 14 St. Mir… v Heart o… 2-0
Jan 10 St. Mir… v Falkirk 0-2
Jan 03 St. Mir… v Motherw… 2-0
Dec 30 St. Mir… v Rangers… 2-1
Dec 27 St. Mir… v Kilmarn… 0-0
Dec 20 St. Mir… v Livings… 1-0
Head-to-Head (1)
Jul 19, 2022 Airdrieonians 2-0 St. Mirren
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.