AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
FA Cup Feb 07, 2026

Elgin City

Home
VS
15:00

Partick

Away
AI Predictions 39.0% Confidence
Elgin City Win
39.0%
Draw
26.2%
Partick Win
34.8%
Home Win (39% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 85%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 49% Draw Risk: 52%
xG: 3.00 - 1.66
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.0 vs 1.7
High draw risk (52%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Elgin City Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
5%
1 goals:
15%
2 goals:
22%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
17%
Partick Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
19%
1 goals:
32%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
15%
4 goals:
6%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1 (7%) 3-1 (7%) 2-2 (6%) 3-2 (6%) 1-1 (5%) 2-0 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 77%
Over 2.5 Goals 75%
Under 2.5 Goals 25%
Elgin City Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 31 Elgin City vs Spartans 3-3
Jan 24 Elgin City vs Dumbarton 2-2
Jan 17 Elgin City vs Camelon J… 1-3
Dec 27 Elgin City vs Forfar At… 4-2
Dec 20 Elgin City vs Spartans 1-0
Dec 16 Elgin City vs East Fife 2-3
Dec 13 Elgin City vs Stranraer 1-2
Dec 06 Elgin City vs Clyde 1-1
Nov 29 Elgin City vs Stirling … 4-2
Nov 22 Elgin City vs Stirling … 1-1
Partick Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 30 Partick vs ST Johnst… 2-2
Jan 24 Partick vs Ayr Utd 2-1
Jan 17 Partick vs Montrose 3-1
Jan 13 Partick vs Inverness… 3-3
Jan 09 Partick vs Ross Coun… 2-0
Jan 03 Partick vs Morton 3-2
Dec 27 Partick vs Queen's P… 2-2
Dec 20 Partick vs Raith Rov… 0-0
Dec 16 Partick vs Rangers FC 1-2
Dec 13 Partick vs Arbroath 2-1
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Final Verdict

STANDARD: Elgin City to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Elgin City Power 0
Partick Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.