AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
FA Cup Feb 07, 2026

Dunfermline

Home
VS
15:00

Kelty Hearts

Away
AI Predictions 57.0% Confidence
Dunfermline Win
57.0%
Draw
22.6%
Kelty Hearts Win
20.4%
Home Win (57% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 71%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 45% Draw Risk: 42%
xG: 2.04 - 1.29
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.0 vs 1.3
High draw risk (42%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Dunfermline Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
13%
1 goals:
27%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
18%
4 goals:
9%
Kelty Hearts Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
28%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
23%
3 goals:
10%
4 goals:
3%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1 (10%) 1-1 (9%) 2-0 (7%) 1-0 (7%) 3-1 (7%) 2-2 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 63%
Under 2.5 Goals 37%
Dunfermline Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 31 Dunfermli… vs Airdrieon… 0-2
Jan 24 Dunfermli… vs ST Johnst… 0-1
Jan 17 Dunfermli… vs Hibernian 1-0
Dec 27 Dunfermli… vs Raith Rov… 1-2
Dec 20 Dunfermli… vs Ayr Utd 2-3
Dec 16 Dunfermli… vs Queen of … 4-3
Dec 13 Dunfermli… vs Queen's P… 1-1
Dec 06 Dunfermli… vs Arbroath 1-2
Nov 29 Dunfermli… vs Queen of … 2-1
Nov 25 Dunfermli… vs Partick 1-0
Kelty Hearts Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 31 Kelty Hea… vs Hamilton … 0-0
Jan 24 Kelty Hea… vs Stenhouse… 0-2
Jan 17 Kelty Hea… vs Cove Rang… 1-1
Jan 10 Kelty Hea… vs Queen of … 3-1
Jan 03 Kelty Hea… vs Alloa Ath… 1-1
Dec 27 Kelty Hea… vs East Fife 0-1
Dec 20 Kelty Hea… vs Rangers FC 2-5
Dec 13 Kelty Hea… vs Peterhead 3-2
Dec 09 Kelty Hea… vs Arbroath 3-2
Dec 06 Kelty Hea… vs Montrose 0-3
Key Analysis Factors
  • Dunfermline in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 5 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Oct 12, 2024 Dunfermline 2 - 1 Kelty Hearts Challenge Cup
Apr 01, 2023 Dunfermline 0 - 0 Kelty Hearts League One
Dec 24, 2022 Kelty Hearts 1 - 2 Dunfermline League One
Oct 29, 2022 Dunfermline 2 - 1 Kelty Hearts League One
Aug 20, 2022 Kelty Hearts 0 - 0 Dunfermline League One
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Dunfermline to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Dunfermline Power 0
Kelty Hearts Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.