Friendlies Clubs · Feb 08, 2026 15:30

Tallinna Kalev
PWR 57
1-0
predicted

Vaprus
PWR 37
53% H 23% D 24% A
Final Verdict
ELITE: Tallinna Kalev to win (95% confidence)
Prediction
1-0
Score
95%
Confidence
ELITE
Match Analyzer ELITE
Most Likely Scores:
1-1 (13%) 0-1 (12%) 1-0 (12%) 0-0 (10%) 1-2 (8%) 2-1 (8%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 0%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk26%
Accuracy42%
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ Teams have similar stats - 31.8% draw probability💡 PIVOT: Under 2.5 recommended (71.2% accuracy)Large gap = lower draw riskWeak home team = higher draw risk
SAME_STATS: WR diff only 0.0% (32.2% home win rate)
Power & Form
Attack58
Defense77
Goals/G1.7
Conc/G0.7
Attack35
Defense42
Goals/G1.0
Conc/G1.7
Tallinna Kalev Form DWLLL
STABLE
Vaprus Form LLLLL
DOWN
Score & Markets
Over 2.539%
BTTS46%
Under 2.561%
Tallinna Ka… Goals
0
32%
1
37%
2
21%
3
8%
4
2%
Vaprus Goals
0
32%
1
37%
2
21%
3
8%
4
2%
Expected Goals (xG)
1.13
Tallinna Kalev
vs
1.13
Vaprus
Decision Breakdown
POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)
Player40%
Momentum53%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (50%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#386
Tallinna Ka…
+419
Gap
#805
Vaprus
WR 33% 5 pts WR 33% 3 pts
TeamPWDLGFGAPts
Tallinna Kalev3120525
Vaprus3102353
Tallinna Kalev 6.0%
Feb 01 Tallinn… v Viimsi 0-0
Nov 08 Tallinn… v Kuressa… 2-1
Nov 02 Tallinn… v Laagri 4-1
Oct 25 Tallinn… v Tammeka 5-2
Oct 22 Tallinn… v Kalju N… 0-2
Oct 18 Tallinn… v FC Tall… 6-0
Oct 04 Tallinn… v Transva… 1-3
Sep 28 Tallinn… v FC Leva… 3-1
Sep 21 Tallinn… v Vaprus 1-0
Sep 17 Tallinn… v Paide 0-3
Vaprus 0.0%
Feb 04 Vaprus v Metta /… 0-3
Jan 31 Vaprus v Kuressa… 1-2
Nov 08 Vaprus v FC Tall… 0-3
Nov 02 Vaprus v Paide 3-0
Oct 26 Vaprus v FC Leva… 1-3
Oct 21 Vaprus v Kuressa… 0-1
Oct 18 Vaprus v Transva… 1-1
Oct 05 Vaprus v Kalju N… 1-0
Sep 27 Vaprus v Laagri 1-2
Sep 21 Vaprus v Tallinn… 1-0
Head-to-Head (10)
Sep 21, 2025 Vaprus 1-0 Tallinna Kalev
Aug 05, 2025 Tallinna Kalev 0-2 Vaprus
Jun 14, 2025 Tallinna Kalev 0-3 Vaprus
Apr 13, 2025 Vaprus 2-2 Tallinna Kalev
Jan 19, 2025 Tallinna Kalev 2-1 Vaprus
Nov 03, 2024 Vaprus 2-0 Tallinna Kalev
Sep 01, 2024 Tallinna Kalev 1-0 Vaprus
Jun 28, 2024 Vaprus 0-1 Tallinna Kalev
Apr 07, 2024 Tallinna Kalev 3-1 Vaprus
Oct 21, 2023 Tallinna Kalev 1-0 Vaprus
Key Factors
Tallinna Kalev struggling (3L in last 5)
Vaprus struggling (5L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.