AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
AFC U23 Asian Cup Apr 22, 2024

Japan U23

Home
VS
13:00

Korea Republic U23

Away
AI Predictions 56.5% Confidence
Japan U23 Win
56.5%
Draw
22.7%
Korea Republic U23 Win
20.8%
Home Win (57% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 60% Draw Risk: 19%
xG: 2.98 - 0.65
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.0 vs 0.7
Score Prediction Analysis
Japan U23 Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
5%
1 goals:
15%
2 goals:
23%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
17%
Korea Republic U23 Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
52%
1 goals:
34%
2 goals:
11%
3 goals:
2%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (12%) 3-0 (12%) 1-0 (8%) 2-1 (8%) 3-1 (8%) 1-1 (5%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 45%
Over 2.5 Goals 62%
Under 2.5 Goals 38%
Japan U23 Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 19 Japan U23 vs UAE U23 0-2
Apr 16 Japan U23 vs China PR … 1-0
Oct 07 Japan U23 vs Korea Rep… 2-1
Sep 20 Japan U23 vs Qatar U23 3-1
Jun 12 Japan U23 vs Korea Rep… 0-3
Jun 03 Japan U23 vs UAE U23 1-2
Korea Republic U23 Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 26 Korea Rep… vs Australia… 2-2
Oct 07 Korea Rep… vs Japan U23 2-1
Jun 12 Korea Rep… vs Japan U23 0-3
Jun 05 Korea Rep… vs Vietnam U… 1-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Japan U23 in strong form (4W in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 2 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Oct 07, 2023 Korea Republic U23 2 - 1 Japan U23 Asian Games
Jun 12, 2022 Korea Republic U23 0 - 3 Japan U23 AFC U23 Asian …
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Japan U23 to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Japan U23 Power 0
Korea Republic U23 Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.