AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Ligue 1 Feb 19, 2026

Don Bosco

Home
VS
11:00

Simba

Away
AI Predictions 45.0% Confidence
Don Bosco Win
45.0%
Draw
25.0%
Simba Win
30.0%
Home Win (45% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
HWR60+ (68.3%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 84%
Standings 48%
Market 50%
Combined: 48% Draw Risk: 46%
xG: 1.77 - 0.45
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.8 vs 0.5
High draw risk (46%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Don Bosco Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
17%
1 goals:
30%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
16%
4 goals:
7%
Simba Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
64%
1 goals:
29%
2 goals:
7%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (19%) 2-0 (17%) 0-0 (11%) 3-0 (10%) 1-1 (9%) 2-1 (8%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 30%
Over 2.5 Goals 37%
Under 2.5 Goals 63%
Don Bosco Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 29 Don Bosco vs CS Manika 2-2
Jan 26 Don Bosco vs AS New So… 0-1
Jan 23 Don Bosco vs Panda B5 1-3
Jan 18 Don Bosco vs Lubumbash… 0-0
Jan 07 Don Bosco vs Malole 0-2
Jan 04 Don Bosco vs Saint-luc 0-1
Dec 31 Don Bosco vs Tshinkunku 3-0
Dec 21 Don Bosco vs Saint Elo… 2-0
Dec 18 Don Bosco vs Groupe Ba… 1-0
Dec 12 Don Bosco vs FC Tshikas 3-0
Simba Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 28 Simba vs Saint-luc 1-0
Jan 21 Simba vs AS New So… 1-0
Jan 17 Simba vs CS Manika 1-1
Dec 22 Simba vs Malole 1-0
Dec 19 Simba vs Saint-luc 1-1
Dec 14 Simba vs Lubumbash… 0-1
Dec 10 Simba vs Groupe Ba… 3-0
Dec 07 Simba vs Tshinkunku 2-1
Dec 04 Simba vs Blessing 1-2
Nov 30 Simba vs Don Bosco 1-2
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 1 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Nov 30, 2025 Simba 1 - 2 Don Bosco Ligue 1
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Don Bosco Power 0
Simba Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

4

Don Bosco Position

-1

Position Gap

3

Simba Position
Home Win Rate: 60%
Away Win Rate: 67%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.