AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Ligue 1 Feb 19, 2026

Maniema Union

Home
VS
13:00

Motema Pembe

Away
AI Predictions 49.0% Confidence
Maniema Union Win
49.0%
Draw
24.2%
Motema Pembe Win
26.8%
Home Win (49% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 84%
Standings 57%
Market 50%
Combined: 50% Draw Risk: 55%
xG: 2.10 - 0.82
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.1 vs 0.8
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Maniema Union Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
12%
1 goals:
26%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
19%
4 goals:
10%
Motema Pembe Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
44%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
15%
3 goals:
4%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (12%) 1-0 (11%) 2-1 (10%) 1-1 (9%) 3-0 (8%) 3-1 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 49%
Over 2.5 Goals 54%
Under 2.5 Goals 46%
Maniema Union Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 01 Maniema U… vs Wydad Fès 2-1
Jan 25 Maniema U… vs Wydad Fès 1-0
Jan 18 Maniema U… vs JSK 0-1
Jan 14 Maniema U… vs Vita Club 0-0
Jan 10 Maniema U… vs Dauphins … 0-1
Dec 31 Maniema U… vs Dauphins … 2-1
Dec 19 Maniema U… vs Etoile de… 0-0
Dec 16 Maniema U… vs Céleste 1-0
Dec 12 Maniema U… vs Renaissan… 0-1
Dec 09 Maniema U… vs New Jack 1-1
Motema Pembe Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 30 Motema Pe… vs FC Mk de … 1-1
Jan 16 Motema Pe… vs Bukavu Da… 1-1
Jan 11 Motema Pe… vs New Jack 1-2
Dec 28 Motema Pe… vs Renaissan… 0-1
Dec 24 Motema Pe… vs Céleste 1-0
Dec 16 Motema Pe… vs Dauphins … 2-3
Dec 10 Motema Pe… vs Rangers FC 0-0
Dec 04 Motema Pe… vs Anges Ver… 2-0
Nov 30 Motema Pe… vs Vita Club 1-1
Nov 20 Motema Pe… vs JSK 2-2
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 6 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Nov 05, 2025 Motema Pembe 1 - 1 Maniema Union Ligue 1
Jun 24, 2025 Maniema Union 2 - 0 Motema Pembe Ligue 1
Jun 04, 2025 Motema Pembe 2 - 1 Maniema Union Ligue 1
Apr 13, 2025 Maniema Union 1 - 2 Motema Pembe Ligue 1
Oct 17, 2024 Motema Pembe 1 - 1 Maniema Union Ligue 1
Dec 27, 2023 Maniema Union 2 - 1 Motema Pembe Ligue 1
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Maniema Union Power 0
Motema Pembe Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

4

Maniema Union Position

+2

Position Gap

6

Motema Pembe Position
Home Win Rate: 50%
Away Win Rate: 38%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.