AI Match Insights
Pro League Feb 19, 2026
Al-Ahli Saudi
HomeVS
17:00
Al Najma
AwayAI Predictions 63.0% Confidence
Al-Ahli Saudi Win
Draw
Al Najma Win
Home Win
(63% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%)
GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%)
TOP3vsBot (75.8%)
HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%)
M85+S60 (75.3%)
TOP3_VS_REL (80.8%)
GAP10_HWR60 (79.9%)
POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%)
GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)
HOME_FORT (73.3%)
TOP5vsBOT (72.7%)
HWR60+ (68.3%)
POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score
40%
Momentum
94%
Standings
93%
Market
50%
Combined: 58%
Draw Risk: 28%
xG: 2.72 - 0.20
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.7 vs 0.2
Position gap: 15 places
High draw risk (28%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Al-Ahli Saudi Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
Al Najma Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (20%)
3-0 (18%)
1-0 (15%)
0-0 (5%)
2-1 (4%)
3-1 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score)
17%
Over 2.5 Goals
50%
Under 2.5 Goals
50%
Al-Ahli Saudi Form 16.0%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 05 | Al-Ahli S… vs Al-Hazem | 0-0 |
| Feb 02 | Al-Ahli S… vs Al-Hilal … | 0-0 |
| Jan 28 | Al-Ahli S… vs Al-Ettifaq | 4-0 |
| Jan 24 | Al-Ahli S… vs Al Suqoor | 0-3 |
| Jan 20 | Al-Ahli S… vs Al Khalee… | 4-1 |
| Jan 17 | Al-Ahli S… vs Al Kholood | 0-1 |
| Jan 14 | Al-Ahli S… vs Al Taawou… | 2-1 |
| Jan 10 | Al-Ahli S… vs Al Akhdoud | 0-1 |
| Jan 02 | Al-Ahli S… vs Al-Nassr | 3-2 |
| Dec 30 | Al-Ahli S… vs Al-Fayha … | 2-0 |
Al Najma Form 4.0%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 05 | Al Najma vs Al-Fayha … | 1-0 |
| Feb 01 | Al Najma vs Al-Ittiha… | 1-0 |
| Jan 28 | Al Najma vs Al Riyadh | 1-1 |
| Jan 25 | Al Najma vs Al-Qadisi… | 1-3 |
| Jan 20 | Al Najma vs Al Shabab | 0-0 |
| Jan 16 | Al Najma vs Al-Fateh … | 1-1 |
| Jan 12 | Al Najma vs Al-Hazem | 3-2 |
| Jan 08 | Al Najma vs Al-Ettifaq | 3-4 |
| Jan 02 | Al Najma vs Al Khalee… | 2-2 |
| Dec 29 | Al Najma vs Al Taawou… | 1-0 |
Key Analysis Factors
- Al-Ahli Saudi in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
- Al Najma struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 1 matches
| Date | Home Team | Score | Away Team | League |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 23, 2025 | Al Najma | 0 - 1 | Al-Ahli Saudi | Pro League |
Final Verdict
MASTER: Al-Ahli Saudi to win (83% confidence)
MASTER Tier
Predicted: 1-0
83% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_15+ (79.5%)
HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%)
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%)
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
- Huge position gap: 15
Al-Ahli Saudi Power
0
Al Najma Power
0
Home Form
N/A
Away Form
N/A
League Standings Context
3
Al-Ahli Saudi Position+15
Position Gap18
Al Najma Position
Home Win Rate: 70%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis.
Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.