AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Pro League Feb 19, 2026

Al-Nassr

Home
VS
17:00

Al-Hazem

Away
AI Predictions 65.0% Confidence
Al-Nassr Win
65.0%
Draw
21.0%
Al-Hazem Win
14.0%
Home Win (65% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
S75+DR<25 (81.8%) GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%) GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%) HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%) M85+S60 (75.3%) HWR80+DR<25 (75.0%) GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) HOME_FORT (73.3%) TOP5vsBOT (72.7%) HWR60+ (68.3%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) CS65+DR<30 (68.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 92%
Standings 78%
Market 50%
Combined: 65% Draw Risk: 23%
xG: 2.50 - 0.61
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.5 vs 0.6 Position gap: 9 places
Score Prediction Analysis
Al-Nassr Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
8%
1 goals:
21%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
21%
4 goals:
13%
Al-Hazem Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
54%
1 goals:
33%
2 goals:
10%
3 goals:
2%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (14%) 3-0 (12%) 1-0 (11%) 2-1 (9%) 3-1 (7%) 1-1 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 42%
Over 2.5 Goals 56%
Under 2.5 Goals 44%
Al-Nassr Form 20.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 02 Al-Nassr vs Al Riyadh 0-1
Jan 30 Al-Nassr vs Al Kholood 0-3
Jan 26 Al-Nassr vs Al Taawou… 1-0
Jan 21 Al-Nassr vs Damac 1-2
Jan 17 Al-Nassr vs Al Shabab 3-2
Jan 12 Al-Nassr vs Al-Hilal … 3-1
Jan 08 Al-Nassr vs Al-Qadisi… 1-2
Jan 02 Al-Nassr vs Al-Ahli S… 3-2
Dec 30 Al-Nassr vs Al-Ettifaq 2-2
Dec 27 Al-Nassr vs Al Akhdoud 3-0
Al-Hazem Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 01 Al-Hazem vs Al-Fateh … 1-1
Jan 29 Al-Hazem vs Al Shabab 0-4
Jan 26 Al-Hazem vs Damac 2-1
Jan 22 Al-Hazem vs Al Taawou… 2-2
Jan 18 Al-Hazem vs Al-Qadisi… 1-5
Jan 12 Al-Hazem vs Al Najma 3-2
Jan 08 Al-Hazem vs Al-Hilal … 3-0
Jan 04 Al-Hazem vs Al Suqoor 1-2
Dec 29 Al-Hazem vs Al Riyadh 1-2
Dec 25 Al-Hazem vs Al-Fayha … 0-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Al-Nassr in strong form (5W in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 1 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Oct 25, 2025 Al-Hazem 0 - 2 Al-Nassr Pro League
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Al-Nassr to win (63% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 63% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_8+ (72.1%) HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Al-Nassr Power 0
Al-Hazem Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

2

Al-Nassr Position

+9

Position Gap

11

Al-Hazem Position
Home Win Rate: 89%
Away Win Rate: 30%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.