KNVB Beker · Feb 04, 2026 20:00

PSV Eindhoven
PWR 81
4 - 1
FT

Heerenveen
PWR 52
45% H 25% D 30% A
Final Verdict
ELITE: PSV Eindhoven to win (95% confidence)
Prediction
2-1
Score
95%
Confidence
ELITE
Match Analyzer ELITE
Most Likely Scores:
1-1 (11%) 2-1 (9%) 1-0 (9%) 2-0 (8%) 1-2 (7%) 0-1 (7%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 4-1
Stability Protocol
GOLD · 3 rules · 68%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk11%
Accuracy73%
POSITION_GAPPOINTS_GAPHOME_FORM
AH: AH -0.5 - Low draw risk AH_05
Full data available (Tier 1)Large gap = lower draw riskStrong home team = lower draw riskBelow minimum tier (need 4+ rules, got 3)
Power & Form
Attack100
Defense67
Goals/G2.9
Conc/G0.9
Attack57
Defense48
Goals/G1.6
Conc/G1.5
PSV Eindhoven Form WDDLW
STABLE
Heerenveen Form DLWDW
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.554%
BTTS57%
Under 2.546%
PSV Eindhov… Goals
0
19%
1
31%
2
26%
3
15%
4
6%
Heerenveen Goals
0
30%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4
3%
Expected Goals (xG)
1.68
PSV Eindhoven
vs
1.22
Heerenveen
Decision Breakdown
GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%)GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%)TOP3vsBot (75.8%)GAP10_HWR60 (79.9%)POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%)GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)HOME_FORT (73.3%)TOP5vsBOT (72.7%)HWR60+ (68.3%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)
Player40%
Momentum66%
Standings50%
Market68%
High draw risk (47%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#1
PSV Eindhov…
+14
Gap
#15
Heerenveen
WR 75% 36 pts WR 50% 12 pts
TeamPWDLGFGAPts
PSV Eindhoven161204471536
Heerenveen8404131212
PSV Eindhoven 12.0%
Feb 01 PSV Ein… v Feyenoo… 3-0
Jan 28 PSV Ein… v Bayern … 0-0
Jan 24 PSV Ein… v NAC Bre… 2-2
Jan 21 PSV Ein… v Newcast… 3-0
Jan 17 PSV Ein… v Fortuna… 1-2
Jan 14 PSV Ein… v Den Bos… 1-4
Jan 10 PSV Ein… v Excelsi… 5-1
Dec 21 PSV Ein… v Utrecht 1-2
Dec 16 PSV Ein… v GVVV Ve… 3-0
Dec 13 PSV Ein… v Heracles 4-3
Heerenveen 12.0%
Feb 01 Heerenv… v Utrecht 1-1
Jan 18 Heerenv… v Groning… 0-2
Jan 15 Heerenv… v Waalwijk 3-1
Jan 11 Heerenv… v Feyenoo… 2-2
Dec 20 Heerenv… v Heracles 0-3
Dec 17 Heerenv… v Feyenoo… 2-3
Dec 14 Heerenv… v Sparta … 0-3
Dec 06 Heerenv… v PSV Ein… 0-2
Nov 28 Heerenv… v PEC Zwo… 2-1
Nov 23 Heerenv… v AZ Alkm… 3-1
Head-to-Head (10)
Dec 06, 2025 Heerenveen 0-2 PSV Eindhoven
Mar 08, 2025 PSV Eindhoven 2-1 Heerenveen
Dec 14, 2024 Heerenveen 1-0 PSV Eindhoven
Dec 14, 2024 Heerenveen 1-0 PSV Eindhoven
Apr 25, 2024 Heerenveen 0-8 PSV Eindhoven
Apr 25, 2024 Heerenveen 0-8 PSV Eindhoven
Dec 07, 2023 PSV Eindhoven 2-0 Heerenveen
Dec 07, 2023 PSV Eindhoven 2-0 Heerenveen
May 21, 2023 PSV Eindhoven 3-3 Heerenveen
Oct 09, 2022 Heerenveen 0-1 PSV Eindhoven
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.