AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Paranaense - 1 Jan 17, 2024

Maringá

Home
VS
23:30

Aruko Sports

Away
AI Predictions 45.0% Confidence
Maringá Win
45.0%
Draw
25.0%
Aruko Sports Win
30.0%
Home Win (45% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 85%
Standings 61%
Market 50%
Combined: 51% Draw Risk: 49%
xG: 2.17 - 0.81
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.2 vs 0.8
High draw risk (49%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Maringá Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
11%
1 goals:
25%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
19%
4 goals:
11%
Aruko Sports Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
45%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
15%
3 goals:
4%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (12%) 1-0 (11%) 2-1 (10%) 1-1 (9%) 3-0 (9%) 3-1 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 49%
Over 2.5 Goals 55%
Under 2.5 Goals 45%
Maringá Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 08 Maringá vs Azuriz 3-0
Feb 04 Maringá vs Aruko Spo… 1-1
Jan 29 Maringá vs Operário-… 2-2
Jan 26 Maringá vs Corinthia… 0-1
May 12 Maringá vs Volta Red… 2-0
Apr 03 Maringá vs Corinthia… 4-2
Mar 31 Maringá vs Corinthia… 1-2
Mar 27 Maringá vs Operário-… 0-0
Mar 24 Maringá vs Operário-… 1-1
Mar 06 Maringá vs Corinthia… 3-1
Aruko Sports Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 12 Aruko Spo… vs Cascavel 2-1
Feb 04 Aruko Spo… vs Maringá 1-1
Jan 29 Aruko Spo… vs Londrina 0-0
Jan 21 Aruko Spo… vs Foz Do Ig… 1-0
Jan 17 Aruko Spo… vs Athletico… 1-2
Jun 12 Aruko Spo… vs Foz Do Ig… 0-1
Jun 05 Aruko Spo… vs Foz Do Ig… 3-3
Apr 20 Aruko Spo… vs Foz Do Ig… 3-2
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 1 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Feb 04, 2023 Aruko Sports 1 - 1 Maringá Paranaense - 1
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Maringá Power 0
Aruko Sports Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

5

Maringá Position

+1

Position Gap

6

Aruko Sports Position
Home Win Rate: 33%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.