AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Sul-Matogrossense Mar 09, 2025

Operário Ferroviário

Home
VS
20:00

Costa Rica

Away
AI Predictions 55.0% Confidence
Operário Ferroviário Win
55.0%
Draw
23.0%
Costa Rica Win
22.0%
Home Win (55% confidence)
Predicted Score: 0-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%) HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%) GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) HOME_FORT (73.3%) HWR60+ (68.3%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 53%
Standings 70%
Market 50%
Combined: 44% Draw Risk: 55%
xG: 0.99 - 1.09
Key Insights
Position gap: 5 places
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Operário Ferroviário Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
37%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
18%
3 goals:
6%
4 goals:
2%
Costa Rica Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
34%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
20%
3 goals:
7%
4 goals:
2%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1 (14%) 1-1 (13%) 0-0 (12%) 1-0 (12%) 0-2 (7%) 1-2 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 42%
Over 2.5 Goals 34%
Under 2.5 Goals 66%
Operário Ferroviário Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 05 Operário … vs Costa Rica 0-1
Mar 02 Operário … vs Portugues… 1-4
Feb 15 Operário … vs Costa Rica 1-0
Feb 09 Operário … vs Jataiense 1-1
Feb 06 Operário … vs Tombense 2-1
Jan 26 Operário … vs Ivinhema 0-4
Jan 18 Operário … vs Águia Neg… 2-0
Apr 07 Operário … vs Portugues… 0-0
Mar 31 Operário … vs Portugues… 2-3
Mar 24 Operário … vs Ivinhema 0-1
Costa Rica Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 05 Costa Rica vs Operário … 0-1
Mar 02 Costa Rica vs Ivinhema 2-3
Feb 23 Costa Rica vs Dourados … 2-2
Feb 15 Costa Rica vs Operário … 1-0
Feb 09 Costa Rica vs Portugues… 1-1
Mar 24 Costa Rica vs Dourados … 1-1
Mar 17 Costa Rica vs Dourados … 0-0
Feb 24 Costa Rica vs Portugues… 0-0
Jan 28 Costa Rica vs Portugues… 2-0
Apr 16 Costa Rica vs Ivinhema 0-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Operário Ferroviário in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 2 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Mar 05, 2025 Costa Rica 0 - 1 Operário Ferroviário Sul-Matogrosse…
Feb 15, 2025 Operário Ferroviário 1 - 0 Costa Rica Sul-Matogrosse…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Operário Ferroviário to win (61% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 61% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_5+ (66.8%) HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Operário Ferroviário Power 0
Costa Rica Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

1

Operário Ferroviário Position

+5

Position Gap

6

Costa Rica Position
Home Win Rate: 100%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.