AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Paulista - A2 Feb 18, 2026

Taubaté

Home
VS
23:00

Santo André

Away
AI Predictions 41.2% Confidence
Taubaté Win
31.0%
Draw
27.8%
Santo André Win
41.2%
Away Win (41% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 92%
Standings 34%
Market 50%
Combined: 48% Draw Risk: 35%
xG: 2.99 - 1.07
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.0 vs 1.1
High draw risk (35%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Taubaté Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
5%
1 goals:
15%
2 goals:
23%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
17%
Santo André Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
34%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
20%
3 goals:
7%
4 goals:
2%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1 (8%) 3-1 (8%) 2-0 (8%) 3-0 (8%) 1-1 (6%) 1-0 (5%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 62%
Over 2.5 Goals 69%
Under 2.5 Goals 31%
Taubaté Form 4.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 01 Taubaté vs Ituano 0-1
Jan 28 Taubaté vs Fluminense 1-1
Jan 24 Taubaté vs Ferroviár… 1-2
Jan 21 Taubaté vs Juventude 3-2
Jan 17 Taubaté vs Inter De … 1-1
Jan 14 Taubaté vs Oeste 2-2
Jan 10 Taubaté vs Sertãozin… 0-0
Aug 16 Taubaté vs São Caeta… 3-0
Aug 10 Taubaté vs Portugues… 2-1
Aug 01 Taubaté vs Oeste 1-2
Santo André Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 01 Santo And… vs Água Santa 2-1
Jan 28 Santo And… vs Ferroviár… 0-1
Jan 24 Santo And… vs Inter De … 0-1
Jan 21 Santo And… vs Votuporan… 1-0
Jan 18 Santo And… vs XV de Pir… 1-0
Jan 14 Santo And… vs Monte Azul 0-4
Jan 11 Santo And… vs Juventude 3-3
Aug 16 Santo And… vs Oeste 0-0
Aug 09 Santo And… vs São Caeta… 2-0
Aug 03 Santo And… vs São José … 3-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Santo André in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
  • Taubaté struggling (3L in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 2 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Jul 26, 2025 Santo André 1 - 1 Taubaté Copa Paulista
Jun 20, 2025 Taubaté 0 - 0 Santo André Copa Paulista
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Taubaté Power 0
Santo André Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

15

Taubaté Position

-8

Position Gap

7

Santo André Position
Home Win Rate: 0%
Away Win Rate: 33%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.