AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Paulista - A2 Feb 18, 2026

São José Esporte Clube

Home
VS
23:00

Ferroviária

Away
AI Predictions 42.8% Confidence
São José Esporte Clube Win
29.0%
Draw
28.2%
Ferroviária Win
42.8%
Away Win (43% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 79%
Standings 30%
Market 50%
Combined: 44% Draw Risk: 49%
xG: 1.61 - 0.72
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.6 vs 0.7
High draw risk (49%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
São José Esporte Clube Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
20%
1 goals:
32%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
14%
4 goals:
6%
Ferroviária Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
49%
1 goals:
35%
2 goals:
13%
3 goals:
3%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (16%) 2-0 (13%) 1-1 (11%) 0-0 (10%) 2-1 (9%) 0-1 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 41%
Over 2.5 Goals 41%
Under 2.5 Goals 59%
São José Esporte Clube Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 31 São José … vs Inter De … 1-1
Jan 28 São José … vs São Bento 0-1
Jan 24 São José … vs Monte Azul 1-1
Jan 21 São José … vs Oeste 2-1
Jan 17 São José … vs Juventus 0-1
Jan 14 São José … vs Grêmio Pr… 2-1
Jan 11 São José … vs Linense 1-0
Nov 09 São José … vs BOA 3-0
Nov 01 São José … vs Essube 2-0
Oct 31 São José … vs Corí-Sabbá 1-1
Ferroviária Form 18.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 01 Ferroviár… vs São Bento 2-0
Jan 28 Ferroviár… vs Santo And… 0-1
Jan 24 Ferroviár… vs Taubaté 1-2
Jan 21 Ferroviár… vs Inter De … 2-1
Jan 17 Ferroviár… vs Ituano 1-1
Jan 14 Ferroviár… vs Juventus 5-1
Jan 09 Ferroviár… vs Oeste 0-0
Nov 27 Ferroviár… vs Pague Men… 3-2
Nov 23 Ferroviár… vs Fortaleza 2-1
Nov 16 Ferroviár… vs Athletico… 1-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • Ferroviária in strong form (4W in last 5) Away
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
São José Esporte Clube Power 0
Ferroviária Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

11

São José Esporte Clube Position

-10

Position Gap

1

Ferroviária Position
Home Win Rate: 25%
Away Win Rate: 50%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.