AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
FKF Premier League Feb 18, 2026

Ulinzi Stars

Home
VS
12:00

Homeboyz

Away
AI Predictions 43.0% Confidence
Ulinzi Stars Win
43.0%
Draw
25.4%
Homeboyz Win
31.6%
Home Win (43% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 90%
Standings 32%
Market 50%
Combined: 47% Draw Risk: 41%
xG: 2.21 - 0.47
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.2 vs 0.5
High draw risk (41%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Ulinzi Stars Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
11%
1 goals:
24%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
20%
4 goals:
11%
Homeboyz Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
63%
1 goals:
29%
2 goals:
7%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (17%) 1-0 (15%) 3-0 (12%) 2-1 (8%) 1-1 (7%) 0-0 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 33%
Over 2.5 Goals 48%
Under 2.5 Goals 52%
Ulinzi Stars Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 01 Ulinzi St… vs Kariobang… 1-0
Jan 25 Ulinzi St… vs Murang'a … 1-2
Jan 16 Ulinzi St… vs Mathare U… 1-0
Jan 11 Ulinzi St… vs Nairobi U… 1-1
Dec 22 Ulinzi St… vs Posta Ran… 3-0
Dec 18 Ulinzi St… vs AFC Leopa… 2-1
Dec 11 Ulinzi St… vs KCB 1-2
Dec 05 Ulinzi St… vs Tusker 1-0
Nov 30 Ulinzi St… vs Bandari 1-1
Nov 24 Ulinzi St… vs Sofapaka 1-3
Homeboyz Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 31 Homeboyz vs Mara Sugar 3-3
Jan 18 Homeboyz vs Kariobang… 2-0
Jan 10 Homeboyz vs Bandari 2-1
Jan 04 Homeboyz vs AFC Leopa… 0-1
Dec 22 Homeboyz vs Police 2-2
Dec 17 Homeboyz vs Gor Mahia 1-0
Dec 12 Homeboyz vs Shabana 2-2
Nov 30 Homeboyz vs KCB 1-1
Nov 23 Homeboyz vs Posta Ran… 2-0
Nov 15 Homeboyz vs Mathare U… 2-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Ulinzi Stars struggling (3L in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 1 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Oct 25, 2025 Homeboyz 3 - 1 Ulinzi Stars FKF Premier Le…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Ulinzi Stars Power 0
Homeboyz Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

15

Ulinzi Stars Position

-9

Position Gap

6

Homeboyz Position
Home Win Rate: 11%
Away Win Rate: 43%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.