AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
FKF Premier League Feb 18, 2026

Sofapaka

Home
VS
12:00

Police

Away
AI Predictions 37.0% Confidence
Sofapaka Win
37.0%
Draw
26.6%
Police Win
36.4%
Home Win (37% confidence)
Predicted Score: 0-0
Decision Justification
Player Score 40%
Momentum 45%
Standings 30%
Market 50%
Combined: 35% Draw Risk: 55%
xG: 0.30 - 0.77
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Sofapaka Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
74%
1 goals:
22%
2 goals:
3%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Police Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
46%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
14%
3 goals:
4%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0 (34%) 0-1 (26%) 1-0 (10%) 0-2 (10%) 1-1 (8%) 1-2 (3%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 14%
Over 2.5 Goals 9%
Under 2.5 Goals 91%
Sofapaka Form 4.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 31 Sofapaka vs Gor Mahia 3-0
Jan 25 Sofapaka vs AFC Leopa… 0-1
Jan 17 Sofapaka vs Shabana 1-0
Jan 09 Sofapaka vs Bidco Uni… 1-1
Dec 22 Sofapaka vs Kariobang… 0-0
Dec 17 Sofapaka vs Mathare U… 1-0
Dec 14 Sofapaka vs Tusker 0-2
Dec 07 Sofapaka vs KCB 1-0
Nov 29 Sofapaka vs APS Bomet 0-0
Nov 24 Sofapaka vs Ulinzi St… 1-3
Police Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 02 Police vs Bidco Uni… 1-1
Jan 28 Police vs Bandari 1-0
Jan 24 Police vs Mara Sugar 0-1
Jan 19 Police vs Nairobi U… 1-1
Jan 14 Police vs Mara Sugar 1-1
Jan 09 Police vs KCB 0-0
Dec 22 Police vs Homeboyz 2-2
Dec 18 Police vs Murang'a … 1-0
Dec 13 Police vs AFC Leopa… 0-0
Dec 06 Police vs Kariobang… 0-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Sofapaka struggling (3L in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 1 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Nov 05, 2025 Police 1 - 0 Sofapaka FKF Premier Le…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Sofapaka Power 0
Police Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

18

Sofapaka Position

-13

Position Gap

5

Police Position
Home Win Rate: 10%
Away Win Rate: 56%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.