AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
FKF Premier League Feb 18, 2026

Mathare United

Home
VS
15:00

Shabana

Away
AI Predictions 39.0% Confidence
Mathare United Win
39.0%
Draw
26.2%
Shabana Win
34.8%
Home Win (39% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-3
Decision Justification
Player Score 40%
Momentum 35%
Standings 32%
Market 50%
Combined: 33% Draw Risk: 40%
xG: 1.35 - 3.99
High draw risk (40%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Mathare United Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
26%
1 goals:
35%
2 goals:
24%
3 goals:
11%
4 goals:
4%
Shabana Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
2%
1 goals:
7%
2 goals:
15%
3 goals:
20%
4 goals:
20%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-3 (7%) 1-2 (5%) 0-3 (5%) 2-3 (5%) 0-2 (4%) 2-2 (3%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 73%
Over 2.5 Goals 69%
Under 2.5 Goals 31%
Mathare United Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 01 Mathare U… vs Kisumu Al… 0-0
Jan 31 Mathare U… vs KCB 1-2
Jan 25 Mathare U… vs Soy United 1-0
Jan 24 Mathare U… vs Posta Ran… 1-1
Jan 18 Mathare U… vs Talanta 2-1
Jan 16 Mathare U… vs Ulinzi St… 1-0
Jan 11 Mathare U… vs Vihiga Un… 1-2
Jan 10 Mathare U… vs Murang'a … 0-2
Dec 21 Mathare U… vs Bandari 1-0
Dec 21 Mathare U… vs MOFA 0-4
Shabana Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 01 Shabana vs Bandari 1-0
Jan 24 Shabana vs APS Bomet 3-3
Jan 17 Shabana vs Sofapaka 1-0
Jan 11 Shabana vs Gor Mahia 0-0
Jan 04 Shabana vs Nairobi U… 1-3
Dec 20 Shabana vs KCB 1-3
Dec 17 Shabana vs Mara Sugar 0-0
Dec 12 Shabana vs Homeboyz 2-2
Dec 06 Shabana vs Bidco Uni… 1-0
Nov 30 Shabana vs Police 0-1
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 1 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Oct 26, 2025 Shabana 0 - 1 Mathare United FKF Premier Le…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Mathare United Power 0
Shabana Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

12

Mathare United Position

-9

Position Gap

3

Shabana Position
Home Win Rate: 33%
Away Win Rate: 44%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.