AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
1. Lig Feb 19, 2026

Sarıyer

Home
VS
14:00

Amed

Away
AI Predictions 43.0% Confidence
Sarıyer Win
43.0%
Draw
25.4%
Amed Win
31.6%
Home Win (43% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 86%
Standings 30%
Market 50%
Combined: 46% Draw Risk: 32%
xG: 2.00 - 0.52
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.0 vs 0.5
High draw risk (32%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Sarıyer Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
14%
1 goals:
27%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
18%
4 goals:
9%
Amed Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
60%
1 goals:
31%
2 goals:
8%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (16%) 2-0 (16%) 3-0 (11%) 1-1 (8%) 2-1 (8%) 0-0 (8%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 35%
Over 2.5 Goals 44%
Under 2.5 Goals 56%
Sarıyer Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 31 Sarıyer vs Erzurum BB 4-0
Jan 25 Sarıyer vs Yeni Çoru… 1-2
Jan 18 Sarıyer vs Boluspor 1-2
Jan 11 Sarıyer vs 76 Iğdır … 1-0
Dec 27 Sarıyer vs BB Bodrum… 1-0
Dec 19 Sarıyer vs Erokspor 1-1
Dec 13 Sarıyer vs İstanbuls… 1-2
Dec 08 Sarıyer vs Antalyasp… 0-3
Dec 03 Sarıyer vs İstanbuls… 6-0
Nov 30 Sarıyer vs Bandırmas… 1-0
Amed Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 01 Amed vs Adana Dem… 7-0
Jan 25 Amed vs Samsunspor 1-1
Jan 18 Amed vs Erzurum BB 2-0
Jan 09 Amed vs Yeni Çoru… 1-0
Dec 28 Amed vs 76 Iğdır … 3-0
Dec 22 Amed vs BB Bodrum… 0-0
Dec 13 Amed vs Bandırmas… 2-1
Dec 06 Amed vs Rizespor 3-4
Nov 28 Amed vs Erokspor 2-1
Nov 22 Amed vs Boluspor 4-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Sarıyer in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
  • Amed in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 1 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Sep 25, 2025 Amed 2 - 0 Sarıyer 1. Lig
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Sarıyer Power 0
Amed Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

16

Sarıyer Position

-15

Position Gap

1

Amed Position
Home Win Rate: 36%
Away Win Rate: 36%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.