AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
1. Lig Feb 19, 2026

Sakaryaspor

Home
VS
17:00

Pendikspor

Away
AI Predictions 41.0% Confidence
Sakaryaspor Win
41.0%
Draw
25.8%
Pendikspor Win
33.2%
Home Win (41% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 87%
Standings 30%
Market 50%
Combined: 46% Draw Risk: 43%
xG: 2.31 - 0.80
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.3 vs 0.8
High draw risk (42%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Sakaryaspor Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
10%
1 goals:
23%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
20%
4 goals:
12%
Pendikspor Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
45%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
14%
3 goals:
4%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (12%) 1-0 (10%) 2-1 (10%) 3-0 (9%) 1-1 (8%) 3-1 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 57%
Under 2.5 Goals 43%
Sakaryaspor Form 2.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 01 Sakaryasp… vs Boluspor 2-0
Jan 26 Sakaryasp… vs BB Bodrum… 0-2
Jan 19 Sakaryasp… vs 76 Iğdır … 1-0
Jan 10 Sakaryasp… vs Bandırmas… 1-1
Dec 26 Sakaryasp… vs Manisa FK 0-2
Dec 21 Sakaryasp… vs Yeni Çoru… 2-0
Dec 15 Sakaryasp… vs Hatayspor 3-0
Dec 06 Sakaryasp… vs Erokspor 4-1
Dec 02 Sakaryasp… vs Genclerbi… 0-5
Nov 29 Sakaryasp… vs Ümraniyes… 1-1
Pendikspor Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 01 Pendikspor vs Sivasspor 0-0
Jan 24 Pendikspor vs Erzurum BB 1-2
Jan 17 Pendikspor vs Bandırmas… 4-1
Jan 11 Pendikspor vs BB Bodrum… 0-0
Dec 27 Pendikspor vs Erokspor 0-0
Dec 20 Pendikspor vs Boluspor 1-2
Dec 14 Pendikspor vs 76 Iğdır … 1-1
Dec 08 Pendikspor vs Yeni Çoru… 2-0
Dec 02 Pendikspor vs Rizespor 6-1
Nov 28 Pendikspor vs Manisa FK 2-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Sakaryaspor struggling (4L in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 1 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Sep 25, 2025 Pendikspor 4 - 1 Sakaryaspor 1. Lig
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (18% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 18% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Sakaryaspor Power 0
Pendikspor Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

18

Sakaryaspor Position

-12

Position Gap

6

Pendikspor Position
Home Win Rate: 36%
Away Win Rate: 25%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.