AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
1. Lig Feb 18, 2026

Manisa FK

Home
VS
17:00

Bandırmaspor

Away
AI Predictions 45.0% Confidence
Manisa FK Win
45.0%
Draw
25.0%
Bandırmaspor Win
30.0%
Home Win (45% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 86%
Standings 40%
Market 50%
Combined: 47% Draw Risk: 44%
xG: 1.95 - 0.49
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.9 vs 0.5
High draw risk (44%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Manisa FK Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
14%
1 goals:
28%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
18%
4 goals:
9%
Bandırmaspor Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
61%
1 goals:
30%
2 goals:
7%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (17%) 2-0 (17%) 3-0 (11%) 0-0 (9%) 1-1 (8%) 2-1 (8%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 33%
Over 2.5 Goals 43%
Under 2.5 Goals 57%
Manisa FK Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 31 Manisa FK vs 76 Iğdır … 0-0
Jan 25 Manisa FK vs İstanbuls… 1-0
Jan 17 Manisa FK vs Hatayspor 2-2
Jan 12 Manisa FK vs Ümraniyes… 1-0
Dec 26 Manisa FK vs Sakaryasp… 0-2
Dec 20 Manisa FK vs Keçiöreng… 2-2
Dec 13 Manisa FK vs Serik Bel… 0-1
Dec 07 Manisa FK vs Van BB 2-1
Nov 28 Manisa FK vs Pendikspor 2-0
Nov 21 Manisa FK vs Adana Dem… 5-0
Bandırmaspor Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 01 Bandırmas… vs Erokspor 0-0
Feb 01 Bandırmas… vs Van BB 2-0
Jan 28 Bandırmas… vs İnegölspor 0-0
Jan 23 Bandırmas… vs Adana Dem… 0-3
Jan 18 Bandırmas… vs Buca FK 4-2
Jan 17 Bandırmas… vs Pendikspor 4-1
Jan 11 Bandırmas… vs Antalyasp… 0-4
Jan 10 Bandırmas… vs Sakaryasp… 1-1
Dec 27 Bandırmas… vs Sivasspor 2-0
Dec 27 Bandırmas… vs Antalyasp… 2-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Manisa FK in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
  • Bandırmaspor in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 4 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Sep 24, 2025 Bandırmaspor 1 - 4 Manisa FK 1. Lig
May 04, 2025 Manisa FK 1 - 1 Bandırmaspor 1. Lig
Apr 27, 2025 Bandırmaspor 1 - 3 Manisa FK 1. Lig
May 11, 2024 Bandırmaspor 2 - 0 Manisa FK 1. Lig
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Manisa FK Power 0
Bandırmaspor Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

12

Manisa FK Position

-5

Position Gap

7

Bandırmaspor Position
Home Win Rate: 46%
Away Win Rate: 27%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.