AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Premier League Feb 18, 2026

Hibernians FC

Home
VS
17:30

Hamrun Spartans

Away
AI Predictions 47.0% Confidence
Hibernians FC Win
47.0%
Draw
24.6%
Hamrun Spartans Win
28.4%
Home Win (47% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%) HOME_FORT (73.3%) HWR60+ (68.3%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 72%
Standings 83%
Market 50%
Combined: 51% Draw Risk: 55%
xG: 1.26 - 0.48
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.3 vs 0.5
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Hibernians FC Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
28%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
23%
3 goals:
10%
4 goals:
3%
Hamrun Spartans Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
62%
1 goals:
30%
2 goals:
7%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (22%) 0-0 (18%) 2-0 (14%) 1-1 (11%) 0-1 (8%) 2-1 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 27%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Under 2.5 Goals 75%
Hibernians FC Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 04 Hibernian… vs Zabbar St… 2-1
Jan 31 Hibernian… vs Mosta 1-0
Jan 25 Hibernian… vs Sliema Wa… 1-3
Jan 18 Hibernian… vs Birkirkar… 3-0
Jan 11 Hibernian… vs Mosta 0-2
Jan 06 Hibernian… vs Gżira Uni… 4-1
Jan 03 Hibernian… vs Gudja Uni… 3-1
Dec 18 Hibernian… vs Zabbar St… 3-3
Dec 12 Hibernian… vs Tarxien R… 1-0
Nov 25 Hibernian… vs Naxxar Li… 1-1
Hamrun Spartans Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 03 Hamrun Sp… vs Gżira Uni… 0-0
Jan 31 Hamrun Sp… vs Sliema Wa… 2-0
Jan 27 Hamrun Sp… vs Fgura Uni… 5-0
Jan 24 Hamrun Sp… vs Valletta … 0-0
Jan 17 Hamrun Sp… vs Tarxien R… 2-1
Jan 10 Hamrun Sp… vs Sliema Wa… 1-0
Jan 07 Hamrun Sp… vs Floriana 0-2
Dec 21 Hamrun Sp… vs Birkirkar… 6-1
Dec 14 Hamrun Sp… vs Marsaxlokk 1-3
Dec 11 Hamrun Sp… vs Shakhtar … 0-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • Hibernians FC in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 1 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Sep 27, 2025 Hamrun Spartans 2 - 0 Hibernians FC Premier League
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Hibernians FC to win (41% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 41% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Hibernians FC Power 0
Hamrun Spartans Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

3

Hibernians FC Position

+2

Position Gap

5

Hamrun Spartans Position
Home Win Rate: 100%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.