AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Premier League Feb 18, 2026

Mosta

Home
VS
20:00

Tarxien Rainbows

Away
AI Predictions 39.0% Confidence
Mosta Win
39.0%
Draw
26.2%
Tarxien Rainbows Win
34.8%
Home Win (39% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 89%
Standings 48%
Market 50%
Combined: 50% Draw Risk: 46%
xG: 3.17 - 1.47
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.2 vs 1.5
High draw risk (46%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Mosta Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
4%
1 goals:
13%
2 goals:
21%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
18%
Tarxien Rainbows Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
23%
1 goals:
34%
2 goals:
25%
3 goals:
12%
4 goals:
5%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-1 (8%) 2-1 (7%) 3-2 (6%) 2-2 (5%) 3-0 (5%) 2-0 (5%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 74%
Over 2.5 Goals 74%
Under 2.5 Goals 26%
Mosta Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 04 Mosta vs Naxxar Li… 5-0
Jan 31 Mosta vs Hibernian… 1-0
Jan 28 Mosta vs Mgarr Uni… 0-0
Jan 25 Mosta vs Floriana 2-1
Jan 16 Mosta vs Valletta … 0-5
Jan 11 Mosta vs Hibernian… 0-2
Jan 08 Mosta vs Tarxien R… 2-2
Dec 19 Mosta vs Naxxar Li… 2-3
Dec 12 Mosta vs Zabbar St… 1-1
Nov 24 Mosta vs Gżira Uni… 1-0
Tarxien Rainbows Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 03 Tarxien R… vs Birkirkar… 5-0
Jan 31 Tarxien R… vs Gżira Uni… 1-2
Jan 28 Tarxien R… vs Valletta … 0-0
Jan 25 Tarxien R… vs Marsaxlokk 2-1
Jan 17 Tarxien R… vs Hamrun Sp… 2-1
Jan 11 Tarxien R… vs Naxxar Li… 1-0
Jan 08 Tarxien R… vs Mosta 2-2
Dec 19 Tarxien R… vs Gżira Uni… 2-1
Dec 12 Tarxien R… vs Hibernian… 1-0
Nov 24 Tarxien R… vs Zabbar St… 2-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • Tarxien Rainbows in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 4 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Jan 08, 2026 Mosta 2 - 2 Tarxien Rainbows Premier League
Nov 02, 2025 Tarxien Rainbows 0 - 1 Mosta Premier League
Jul 25, 2025 Mosta 2 - 2 Tarxien Rainbows Friendlies Clu…
Dec 05, 2020 Mosta 1 - 0 Tarxien Rainbows Premier League
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Mosta Power 0
Tarxien Rainbows Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

12

Mosta Position

-1

Position Gap

11

Tarxien Rainbows Position
Home Win Rate: 0%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.