AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Piauiense Feb 18, 2026

PiauĂ­

Home
VS
22:00

Oeirense

Away
AI Predictions 48.0% Confidence
PiauĂ­ Win
48.0%
Draw
24.4%
Oeirense Win
27.6%
Home Win (48% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 77%
Standings 48%
Market 50%
Combined: 47% Draw Risk: 55%
xG: 1.17 - 0.36
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.2 vs 0.4
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
PiauĂ­ Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
31%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
21%
3 goals:
8%
4 goals:
2%
Oeirense Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
70%
1 goals:
25%
2 goals:
5%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (25%) 0-0 (22%) 2-0 (15%) 1-1 (9%) 0-1 (8%) 3-0 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 21%
Over 2.5 Goals 20%
Under 2.5 Goals 80%
PiauĂ­ Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 31 Piauí vs Atlético … 4-1
Jan 26 PiauĂ­ vs Parnahyba 1-0
Jan 17 Piauí vs Fluminens… 1-2
Jan 10 PiauĂ­ vs Altos 0-1
Mar 29 Piauí vs Fluminens… 2-0
Mar 22 PiauĂ­ vs Fluminense 2-2
Mar 15 PiauĂ­ vs Parnahyba 2-1
Mar 09 PiauĂ­ vs Parnahyba 2-1
Feb 15 Piauí vs Figueiren… 0-0
Feb 09 PiauĂ­ vs Parnahyba 0-1
Oeirense Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 31 Oeirense vs Corí-Sabbá 3-1
Jan 23 Oeirense vs TEC 1-0
Jan 17 Oeirense vs Atlético … 1-0
Jan 10 Oeirense vs Fluminens… 1-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • PiauĂ­ in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
Final Verdict

STANDARD: PiauĂ­ to win (60% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 60% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_15+ (79.5%) AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • Huge position gap: 94
PiauĂ­ Power 0
Oeirense Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

5

PiauĂ­ Position

-1

Position Gap

4

Oeirense Position
Home Win Rate: 50%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.