AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Primera Division Feb 18, 2026

Águila

Home
VS
21:00

Alianza

Away
AI Predictions 49.0% Confidence
Águila Win
49.0%
Draw
24.2%
Alianza Win
26.8%
Home Win (49% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 88%
Standings 46%
Market 50%
Combined: 49% Draw Risk: 27%
xG: 2.58 - 1.00
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.6 vs 1.0
High draw risk (27%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Águila Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
8%
1 goals:
20%
2 goals:
25%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
14%
Alianza Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
37%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
18%
3 goals:
6%
4 goals:
2%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (9%) 2-1 (9%) 3-0 (8%) 3-1 (8%) 1-0 (7%) 1-1 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 58%
Over 2.5 Goals 65%
Under 2.5 Goals 35%
Águila Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 04 Águila vs Fuerte Sa… 2-3
Feb 01 Águila vs FAS 3-0
Jan 28 Águila vs Platense 4-1
Jan 25 Águila vs Hércules 3-1
Jan 22 Águila vs Isidro Me… 4-2
Dec 14 Águila vs Firpo 0-1
Dec 07 Águila vs Firpo 1-3
Nov 30 Águila vs Isidro Me… 0-2
Nov 23 Águila vs Isidro Me… 2-1
Nov 16 Águila vs Firpo 3-3
Alianza Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 05 Alianza vs Isidro Me… 2-1
Feb 01 Alianza vs Platense 0-2
Jan 29 Alianza vs Inter 1-3
Jan 25 Alianza vs Firpo 2-3
Jan 21 Alianza vs Cacahuati… 1-1
Dec 21 Alianza vs Firpo 0-0
Dec 14 Alianza vs Cacahuati… 3-0
Dec 07 Alianza vs Cacahuati… 1-2
Nov 30 Alianza vs Municipal… 3-0
Nov 25 Alianza vs Kuwait 0-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • Águila in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 1 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Nov 02, 2025 Alianza 0 - 1 Águila Primera Divisi…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Águila Power 0
Alianza Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

5

Águila Position

-2

Position Gap

3

Alianza Position
Home Win Rate: 46%
Away Win Rate: 73%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.