AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Baiano - 1 Feb 18, 2026

Atlético Alagoinhas

Home
VS
22:15

Porto BA

Away
AI Predictions 43.0% Confidence
Atlético Alagoinhas Win
43.0%
Draw
25.4%
Porto BA Win
31.6%
Home Win (43% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 42%
Market 50%
Combined: 58% Draw Risk: 19%
xG: 4.00 - 0.55
Key Insights
xG dominance: 4.0 vs 0.6
Score Prediction Analysis
Atlético Alagoinhas Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
2%
1 goals:
7%
2 goals:
15%
3 goals:
20%
4 goals:
20%
Porto BA Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
58%
1 goals:
32%
2 goals:
9%
3 goals:
2%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (11%) 2-0 (8%) 3-1 (6%) 2-1 (5%) 1-0 (4%) 1-1 (2%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 42%
Over 2.5 Goals 62%
Under 2.5 Goals 38%
Atlético Alagoinhas Form 4.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 03 Atlético … vs Figueiren… 1-2
Feb 03 Atlético … vs Falcon 2-1
Feb 01 Atlético … vs Nacional … 1-0
Jan 31 Atlético … vs Guaraní RS 3-2
Jan 29 Atlético … vs Serra Bra… 1-0
Jan 27 Atlético … vs Galícia 1-0
Jan 25 Atlético … vs Treze 1-2
Jan 24 Atlético … vs Confiança 2-1
Jan 23 Atlético … vs Jequié 4-1
Jan 21 Atlético … vs América M… 2-0
Porto BA Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 01 Porto BA vs Bahia 3-1
Jan 28 Porto BA vs Barcelona… 1-1
Jan 22 Porto BA vs Bahia de … 1-1
Jan 18 Porto BA vs Vitoria 1-1
Jan 15 Porto BA vs Jequié 1-1
Jan 10 Porto BA vs Jataiense 3-2
Feb 22 Porto BA vs Barcelona… 2-1
Feb 20 Porto BA vs Jataiense 5-0
Feb 08 Porto BA vs Vitoria 2-1
Feb 02 Porto BA vs Jequié 1-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • AtlĂ©tico Alagoinhas struggling (4L in last 5) Home
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Atlético Alagoinhas Power 0
Porto BA Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

10

Atlético Alagoinhas Position

-4

Position Gap

6

Porto BA Position
Home Win Rate: 0%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.