Sul-Matogrossense · Jan 31, 2026 19:30
Águia Negra
PWR 35
Dourados Atlético
PWR 35
PWR 35
1 - 0
FT
Águia Negra
PWR 35
45% H
25% D
30% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Prediction
1-1
Score
43%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
2-0 (16%)
1-0 (15%)
3-0 (12%)
2-1 (8%)
1-1 (7%)
0-0 (6%)
1X2H
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 1-0
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 35%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk29%
Accuracy38%
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line for draw protection
AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)Close positions = higher draw riskElevated draw risk (29.4%) - consider AHBelow minimum tier (need 4+ rules, got 0)
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Dourados Atlét… Form
LDWLL
STABLE
Águia Negra Form
DWLLL
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.549%
BTTS34%
Under 2.551%
Dourados At… Goals
0
10%
1
24%
2
27%
3
20%
4
11%
Águia Negra Goals
0
62%
1
30%
2
7%
3
1%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
2.27
Dourados Atlét…vs
0.48
Águia NegraDecision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum91%
Standings46%
Market50%
High draw risk (40%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#7
Dourados At…-2
Gap#5
Águia Negra
WR 50% 5 pts
WR 33% 5 pts
Dourados Atlét…
6.0%
| Jan 28 | Dourado… v Portugu… | 0-1 |
| Jan 24 | Dourado… v Ivinhema | 1-1 |
| Mar 09 | Dourado… v Águia N… | 2-1 |
| Mar 05 | Dourado… v Águia N… | 2-1 |
| Feb 26 | Dourado… v Caxias | 0-2 |
| Feb 23 | Dourado… v Costa R… | 2-2 |
| Feb 15 | Dourado… v Jataien… | 2-0 |
| Feb 08 | Dourado… v Tombense | 0-1 |
| Feb 02 | Dourado… v Ivinhema | 1-0 |
| Jan 29 | Dourado… v Operári… | 1-0 |
Águia Negra
6.0%
| Jan 28 | Águia N… v Batagua… | 1-1 |
| Jan 24 | Águia N… v Portugu… | 1-2 |
| Mar 23 | Águia N… v Ivinhema | 4-1 |
| Mar 16 | Águia N… v Ivinhema | 0-1 |
| Mar 09 | Águia N… v Dourado… | 2-1 |
| Mar 05 | Águia N… v Dourado… | 2-1 |
| Mar 02 | Águia N… v Tombense | 3-2 |
| Feb 23 | Águia N… v Portugu… | 0-0 |
| Feb 02 | Águia N… v Costa R… | 1-1 |
| Jan 26 | Águia N… v Dourado… | 3-0 |
Head-to-Head (5)
| Mar 09, 2025 | Dourados Atlé… | 2-1 | Águia Negra |
| Mar 05, 2025 | Águia Negra | 2-1 | Dourados Atlé… |
| Jan 26, 2025 | Dourados Atlé… | 3-0 | Águia Negra |
| Feb 26, 2022 | Dourados Atlé… | 1-0 | Águia Negra |
| Feb 06, 2022 | Águia Negra | 0-0 | Dourados Atlé… |
Key Factors
Dourados Atlético struggling (3L in last 5)
Águia Negra struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.