AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Sul-Matogrossense Feb 04, 2026

Bataguassu

Home
VS
22:00

Cr Aquidauana

Away
AI Predictions 65.0% Confidence
Bataguassu Win
65.0%
Draw
21.0%
Cr Aquidauana Win
14.0%
Home Win (65% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
S70+DR<22 (82.1%) S75+DR<25 (81.8%) M75+S65+DR<22 (81.1%) M70+S70+DR<22 (80.6%) M85+S60 (75.3%) GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) TOP5vsBOT (72.7%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) CS65+DR<30 (68.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 76%
Market 50%
Combined: 65% Draw Risk: 16%
xG: 4.50 - 0.52
Key Insights
xG dominance: 4.5 vs 0.5 Position gap: 8 places
Score Prediction Analysis
Bataguassu Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1%
1 goals:
5%
2 goals:
11%
3 goals:
17%
4 goals:
19%
Cr Aquidauana Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
60%
1 goals:
31%
2 goals:
8%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (10%) 2-0 (7%) 3-1 (5%) 2-1 (3%) 1-0 (3%) 1-1 (2%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 40%
Over 2.5 Goals 58%
Under 2.5 Goals 42%
Bataguassu Form 16.7%
Date Match Result
Jan 31 Bataguassu vs Corumbaen… 2-3
Jan 28 Bataguassu vs Águia Neg… 1-1
Jan 24 Bataguassu vs Naviraien… 2-0
Cr Aquidauana Form 3.3%
Date Match Result
Jan 31 Cr Aquida… vs Naviraien… 1-2
Jan 28 Cr Aquida… vs Operário … 3-0
Jan 24 Cr Aquida… vs Costa Rica 1-1
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Final Verdict

STANDARD: Bataguassu to win (63% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 63% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_8+ (72.1%) HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Bataguassu Power 0
Cr Aquidauana Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

2

Bataguassu Position

+8

Position Gap

10

Cr Aquidauana Position
Home Win Rate: 50%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.